CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. MXN 15.54, price MXN 17.49, upside -11.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.34 MXN – 23.26 MXN · fair‑value band 11.36 MXN – 20.20 MXN · the 17.49 MXN price screens above the 15.54 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
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CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide.
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CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white portland, and blended cement products; masonry or mortar products; standard ready-mix, architectural and decorative, rapid-setting, fiber-reinforced, fluid-fill, roller-compacted, self-consolidating, pervious, and antibacterial, and other concrete products; aggregate products, including crushed stone and manufactured sand, gravel, sand, and recycled concrete; and vertua products. The company also provides urbanization solutions for construction chemicals, mortars, concrete products, and asphalt businesses, as well as municipal and industrial waste management solutions; and construction, demolition, and excavation waste solutions. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is based in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Stock analysis
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) currently trades at 17.49 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.54 MXN, 11.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 20.42 MXN per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 17.49 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.60 MXN, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.36 MXN (bear) to 20.20 MXN (bull), the price of 17.49 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of $16.1B in FY2025 versus $14.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $960M in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 247B MXN (≈ $13.7B) · P/E ratio 28.2 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) 0.6200 MXN · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −11%, CEMEXCPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.36 MXNFair Value 15.54 MXNBull 20.20 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4637 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −23.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.5% vs −7.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.6% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−11.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.0% · Below median
Return on assets4.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEMEXCPO
Frequently asked questions
Is CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.54 MXN versus a price of 17.49 MXN, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CEMEXCPO?
Our model-based fair value for CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 15.54 MXN (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.49 MXN.
What is the quality score of CEMEXCPO?
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.54 MXN (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.36 MXN, optimistic scenario 20.20 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.54 MXN, about −11% upside versus a price of 17.49 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.36 MXN, optimistic scenario 20.20 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. pay a dividend?
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. would have to grow free cash flow by +34.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEMEXCPO use?
Our models discount CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.83, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. that is +34.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies +34.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (+34.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.81 %: that much free cash flow CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. it is 15.54 MXN per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of 17.49 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, CEMEXCPO trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.49 MXN, fair value 15.54 MXN, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEMEXCPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.49 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.54 MXN). For CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. the two are 1.95 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. worth?
The market values CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. at about 247B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is 17.49 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 15.54 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEMEXCPO?
Our models span a range for CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V.: cautious scenario 11.36 MXN, base 15.54 MXN, optimistic 20.20 MXN per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price 17.49 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEMEXCPO?
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 15.54 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
What is the PEG ratio of CEMEXCPO?
The PEG ratio of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 0.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEMEXCPO from its 52-week high?
CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. trades at 17.49 MXN, about 25% below its 52-week high of 23.26 MXN and 8% above the low of 16.15 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.54 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price 17.49 MXN, calculated fair value 15.54 MXN (−11%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEMEXCPO calculated?
We run CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 15.54 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 17.49 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 15.54 MXN, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The market capitalisation of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 247B MXN (≈ $13.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
Earnings per share at CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. are 0.6200 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The dividend yield of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 0.1% (payout 1.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The net margin of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
The operating margin of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO)?
Revenue at CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is growing +12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO) carry?
The net debt of CEMEX S.A.B. de C.V. is $4.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 30, 2026