CEMEX, S.A. (CEMEXCPO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 322B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 17.45 MXN to 15.42 MXN (−11.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (13.14 MXN to 24.00 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.36 MXN – 23.33 MXN · fair‑value band 13.14 MXN – 24.00 MXN · the 21.71 MXN price screens above the 15.42 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
Analysis
CEMEX, S.A. (CEMEXCPO) currently trades at 21.71 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.42 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CEMEX, S.A. generated revenue of 16.5B MXN at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 4.5B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.14 MXN (bear case) to 24.00 MXN (bull case); at 21.71 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -29%, CEMEXCPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (19.96 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (1.63 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide.
Full company description
CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, distribution, and sale of cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials and services worldwide. It offers gray ordinary portland, white portland, and blended cement products; masonry or mortar products; standard ready-mix, architectural and decorative, rapid-setting, fiber-reinforced, fluid-fill, roller-compacted, self-consolidating, pervious, and antibacterial, and other concrete products; aggregate products, including crushed stone and manufactured sand, gravel, sand, and recycled concrete; and vertua products. The company also provides urbanization solutions for construction chemicals, mortars, concrete products, and asphalt businesses, as well as municipal and industrial waste management solutions; and construction, demolition, and excavation waste solutions. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is based in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CEMEX, S.A. reported revenue of 16.1B MXN in FY2025 versus 14.5B MXN in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 960M MXN in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.
CEMEXCPO screens 29% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
| J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT | ₹5,493 | ₹2,184 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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