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Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co (000659) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY

ZZ Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co 000659 · SHE
Price¥2.80
Fair Value¥0.8000
Upside-71.4%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -11.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.5500 – ¥1.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.77 to ¥0.8000 (−54.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.5500 to ¥1.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.04 ¥1.30 Fair Value ¥0.8000 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.30 – ¥5.04 · fair‑value band ¥0.5500 – ¥1.05 · the ¥2.80 price screens above the ¥0.8000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co (000659) currently trades at ¥2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8000, implying the stock looks roughly 71.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co generated revenue of 987M CNY at a net margin of -11.7%. Revenue declined 7.9% year over year. Net debt stands at 254M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5500 (bear case) to ¥1.05 (bull case); at ¥2.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -71%, 000659 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0600 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0800 72
EPV ¥0.0600 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0800 59
EV/EBITDA ¥0.7600 ¥1.01 ¥1.26 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.0600 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0800 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.7600 ¥1.01 ¥1.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.1200 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.0400 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0600 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0800 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥0.1700) versus Asset-Based (¥0.0600). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 987M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.9%
Net margin -11.7%
Return on equity -150%
Free cash flow −64.0M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) +1,010%
Net debt 254M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufactures, and sells PET beverage packaging materials in China. The company provides packaging PET bottles, bottle preforms, labels, outer packaging films, plastic cans, paper cups, cartons, and non-woven fabrics for carbonated beverages, hot-filled beverages, drinking water, and beer.

Full company description

Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufactures, and sells PET beverage packaging materials in China. The company provides packaging PET bottles, bottle preforms, labels, outer packaging films, plastic cans, paper cups, cartons, and non-woven fabrics for carbonated beverages, hot-filled beverages, drinking water, and beer. It also offers OEM drinking water and beverage OEM services. In addition, it engages in wholesale and retail of plastic products and chemical raw materials. Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co.,Ltd was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co reported revenue of ¥987M in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥115M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
987M CNY
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+2.3%
Revenue −9.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥987M
Net income
FY21 ¥25.8M
FY22 −¥186M
FY23 −¥70.3M
FY24 −¥123M
FY25 −¥115M

000659 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000659

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 52 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co (000659) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8000 versus a price of ¥2.80, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000659?
Our model-based fair value for Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co is ¥0.8000 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.80.
What is the quality score of 000659?
Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co (000659)?
Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 987M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000659?
The net profit margin of Zhuhai Zhongfu Enterprise Co is about -11.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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