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SCG Packaging Public Company (SCGP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 109B THB

Price27.75 THB
Fair Value16.12 THB
Upside-41.9%
Quality82/100
Evidence: Medium Range 12.09 THB – 20.14 THB

Analysis

SCG Packaging Public Company (SCGP) currently trades at 27.75 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.12 THB — implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

SCG Packaging Public Company Limited provides consumer packaging solutions in Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, China, and internationally. It operates through Integrated Packaging Business, Fibrous Business, and Recycling Business and Corporate segments. The Integrated Packaging segment offers fiber packaging, such as corrugated containers; retail display packaging; packaging paper products, including containerboard, coated duplex board, and sack kraft; and plasterboard liners. This segment also offers consumer and performance packaging comprising flexible packaging products; flexible packaging; rigid packaging products; and medical supplies and labware. Its Fibrous Business segment provides food service; pulp; and paper products. The Recycling Business and Others segment offers packaging materials recycling and investment services. The company was formerly known as SCG Paper Public Company Limited and changed its name to SCG Packaging Public Company Limited in June 2015. The company w…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.