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Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co (000895) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 83.0B CNY

HS Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co 000895 · SHE
Price¥25.38
Fair Value¥29.06
Upside+14.5%
Quality67/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.18% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range ¥21.39 – ¥36.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from ¥30.50 to ¥29.06 (−4.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +9.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥21.39 (bear) to ¥36.73 (bull), base ¥29.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.94 ¥18.28 Fair Value ¥29.06 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥18.28 – ¥34.94 · fair‑value band ¥21.39 – ¥36.73 · the ¥25.38 price screens below the ¥29.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co (000895) currently trades at ¥25.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.06, implying the stock looks roughly 14.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co generated revenue of 59.8B CNY at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.4%. Net debt stands at 5.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥21.39 (bear case) to ¥36.73 (bull case); at ¥25.38, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 15%, 000895 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥24.53 ¥39.49 ¥63.62 80
Residual Income ¥8.90 ¥10.64 ¥28.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.21 ¥31.98 ¥46.37 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥24.41 ¥39.91 ¥65.15 38
Owner Earnings ¥21.76 ¥35.48 ¥57.80 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥20.21 ¥32.04 ¥47.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.97 ¥37.46 ¥54.88 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.43 ¥36.40 ¥51.62 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥20.91 ¥32.36 ¥48.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥23.26 ¥36.22 ¥54.46 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥22.91 ¥35.46 ¥51.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.02 ¥38.58 ¥52.29 54
Lynch FV ¥9.43 ¥13.47 ¥17.51 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.43 ¥13.47 ¥17.51 46
EPV ¥15.26 ¥17.56 ¥19.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥12.85 ¥26.73 ¥42.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥12.85 ¥22.54 ¥28.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥22.10 ¥29.47 ¥36.83 63
P/S Multiple ¥18.79 ¥25.05 ¥31.31 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.87 ¥18.50 ¥23.12 55
EV/EBIT ¥26.93 ¥35.42 ¥43.92 53
EV/EBITDA ¥24.43 ¥32.10 ¥39.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥18.62 ¥25.98 ¥33.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.08 ¥4.13 ¥6.17 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥24.53 ¥39.49 ¥63.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.21 ¥31.98 ¥46.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.90 ¥10.64 ¥28.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.59 ¥20.88 ¥25.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.55 ¥23.64 ¥30.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥35.48) versus Asset-Based (¥4.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 59.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 23.4%
Free cash flow 6.6B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 16.3
More key figures
Operating margin 12.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.52
Dividend yield 6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net debt 5.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd. engages in slaughtering, processing, and selling of meat products in China.

Full company description

Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd. engages in slaughtering, processing, and selling of meat products in China. The company is also involved in the breeding and sales of livestock and poultry; aquatic product processing; production and sales of feed; production and sales of PVDC films and food packaging materials, and other packaging materials; procurement of agricultural and sideline products; chemical product sales; and food industry investment. It also offers fresh pig products, canned meat, quick-frozen and packaged cooked meat products, edible animal fats, egg products, as well as technical consulting services, warehousing services, and catering services and management. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Luohe, China. Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of Rotary Vortex Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co reported revenue of ¥59.3B in FY2025 versus ¥66.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.1B in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
59.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+12.9%
Revenue −2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥66.8B
FY22 ¥62.7B
FY23 ¥60.1B
FY24 ¥59.7B
FY25 ¥59.3B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥4.9B
FY22 ¥5.6B
FY23 ¥5.1B
FY24 ¥5.0B
FY25 ¥5.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000895

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.59× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 30
FUTURE 11 · sector 20
PAST 94 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co (000895) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥29.06 versus a price of ¥25.38, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000895?
Our model-based fair value for Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co is ¥29.06 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥25.38.
What is the quality score of 000895?
Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co (000895)?
Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 59.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000895?
The net profit margin of Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co pay a dividend?
Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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