Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock ¥11.00, price ¥36.85, upside -70.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range ¥17.28 – ¥55.20 · the ¥36.85 price screens above the ¥11.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Shanghai Smart Control Co., Ltd. focuses on the research and development, production, and sale of intelligent electronic control products, intelligent electronic control assemblies, and three-electric systems in China and internationally.
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The company offers intelligent electronic control products, including display and control, manipulation, sensing, and signal transmission products; and electrical control cabinet and operation table assembly products.
It also provides energy storage system and charging station products; and three-electric system products. In addition, the company offers technical and processing services; and construction and operation of photovoltaic storage and charging microgrid power stations.
Shanghai Smart Control Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) currently trades at ¥36.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.00, 70.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥18.95 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥36.85 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.34, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 536M CNY in FY2025 versus 502M CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 15.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding −41.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M) Small · P/E ratio 89.9 · P/S ratio 4.55 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −70%, 001266 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥1.34 to ¥54.05). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥11.00Fair Value ¥11.00Bull¥11.00
Price ¥36.85 · Upside -70.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0910 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
’18
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−37.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.3% a year for the price.
Compare Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 639 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−70.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.3% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)17.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)89.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.55× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow22.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA58.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)85· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001266
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.00 versus a price of ¥36.85, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001266?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is ¥11.00 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥36.85.
What is the quality score of 001266?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.00 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 25 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.00, about −70% upside versus a price of ¥36.85 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 914M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +13.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 001266 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. that is +13.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +13.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (+13.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.75 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. it is ¥11.00 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of ¥36.85. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 001266 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥36.85, fair value ¥11.00, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001266?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥36.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.00). For Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. the two are ¥25.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. at about 4.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥36.85; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.00 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 001266?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.9 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥11.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 58.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001266 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. trades at ¥36.85, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥55.20 and 33% above the low of ¥27.79 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price ¥36.85, calculated fair value ¥11.00 (−70%), Quality Score 48/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001266 calculated?
We run Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥36.85. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.00, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 4.2B CNY (≈ $625M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 4.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. are ¥0.4100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 0.8% (payout 73.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The net margin of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 4.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Revenue at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. is growing +17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. are growing −43.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. (001266) hold?
Shanghai Smart Control Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 416M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 27, 2026