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Flex Ltd (FLEX) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $43.7B

FL Flex Ltd logo Flex Ltd FLEX · US
Price$122.65
Fair Value$44.42
Upside-63.8%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $26.65 – $60.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $44.36 to $44.42 (+0.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($60.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($26.65 to $60.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$162.07 $10.66 Fair Value $44.42 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.66 – $162.07 · fair‑value band $26.65 – $60.05 · the $122.65 price screens above the $44.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Flex Ltd (FLEX) currently trades at $122.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.42, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Flex Ltd generated revenue of $27.9B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.65 (bear case) to $60.05 (bull case); at $122.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -64%, FLEX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.10 $44.46 $66.25 80
Residual Income $15.99 $22.19 $91.49 76
Rev-Margin DCF $30.65 $51.58 $75.28 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.47 $45.65 $71.53 38
Owner Earnings $21.07 $34.30 $54.22 31
5Y Revenue Exit $30.65 $51.58 $78.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $39.27 $67.55 $100.31 41
5Y P/E Exit $28.32 $47.26 $66.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit $28.43 $47.28 $72.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.03 $58.31 $89.03 37
10Y P/E Exit $28.07 $44.30 $63.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $16.33 $48.33 $63.95 54
Lynch FV $10.15 $14.51 $18.86 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.15 $14.51 $18.86 46
EPV $28.59 $33.98 $38.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5500 $1.15 $1.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5500 $0.8900 $1.20 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $36.03 $48.04 $60.05 63
P/S Multiple $30.62 $40.83 $51.04 58
P/B Multiple $30.62 $40.83 $51.04 55
EV/EBIT $51.77 $70.27 $88.77 53
EV/EBITDA $51.34 $69.69 $88.05 54
EV/Revenue $33.69 $49.72 $65.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.02 $9.41 $14.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.10 $44.46 $66.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $30.65 $51.58 $75.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.99 $22.19 $91.49 76
ROIC Compounder $30.71 $39.65 $50.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $29.43 $42.04 $54.65 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($48.04) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.9%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 17.4%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 68.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.7%
EPS (TTM) $2.33
EPS growth (YoY) +17.1%
Net cash $1.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Flex Ltd. provides technology innovation, supply chain, and manufacturing solutions to data center, communications, enterprise, consumer, automotive, industrial, healthcare, industrial, and power industries in the Americas, Asia, and Europe.

Full company description

Flex Ltd. provides technology innovation, supply chain, and manufacturing solutions to data center, communications, enterprise, consumer, automotive, industrial, healthcare, industrial, and power industries in the Americas, Asia, and Europe. The company operates through three segments: Integrated Technology Solutions (ITS), Regulated Manufacturing Solutions (RMS), and Cloud and Power Infrastructure (CPI). The ITS segment offers flexible supply and manufacturing solutions for communications, including high-speed networking, enterprise, and satellite communications systems, as well as lifestyle solutions comprising products across commercial, home, and personal product categories. Its RMS segment includes industrial products, such as mission-critical automation, energy, and industrial infrastructure; automotive products, including compute and power electronics platforms and integrated systems; and healthcare products comprising regulated manufacturing for medical devices, drug delivery, and equipment. The CPI segment provides cloud and cooling products, such as integrated compute systems supporting power-dense digital infrastructure deployments and advanced liquid cooling solutions supporting higher-density, power-intensive rack architectures; and power products that include utility- and facility-level electrical infrastructure enabling power delivery and high-density rack- and board-level power systems. The company was formerly known as Flextronics International Ltd. and changed its name to Flex Ltd. in September 2016. Flex Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Flex Ltd reported revenue of $27.9B in FY2026 versus $24.6B in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $880M in FY2026, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$27.9B
Latest YoY
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+18.9%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY22 $24.6B
FY23 $28.5B
FY24 $26.4B
FY25 $25.8B
FY26 $27.9B
Net income −1.5%/yr
FY22 $936M
FY23 $793M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $838M
FY26 $880M

FLEX screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Flex Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLEX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 41.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.94× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 85 · sector 32
PAST 69 · sector 24
HEALTH 64 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Flex Ltd (FLEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.42 versus a price of $122.65, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLEX?
Our model-based fair value for Flex Ltd is $44.42 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $122.65.
What is the quality score of FLEX?
Flex Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Flex Ltd (FLEX)?
Flex Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FLEX?
The net profit margin of Flex Ltd is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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