Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd ¥4.75, price ¥4.42, upside +7.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.72 – ¥9.37 · fair‑value band ¥4.44 – ¥7.76 · the ¥4.42 price screens below the ¥4.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd. provides supply chain management services in China. It engages in cross-border logistics, government and enterprise centralized procurement, and brand operation; and wholesale of alcoholic beverages, supply chain management, and import and export business.
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Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd. provides supply chain management services in China. It engages in cross-border logistics, government and enterprise centralized procurement, and brand operation; and wholesale of alcoholic beverages, supply chain management, and import and export business. The company is also involved in house leasing business; business management and economic information consulting; and property management, machinery, and equipment maintenance and repair. Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) currently trades at ¥4.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.75, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥22.35 per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥4.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.35, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.44 (bear) to ¥7.76 (bull), the price of ¥4.42 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd reported revenue of 68.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 70.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −319M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 14.7B CNY (≈ $2.2B) · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1200 · Dividend yield 7.6% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 8%, 002183 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.44Fair Value ¥4.75Bull ¥7.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.1% (2020) → 1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.8% a year for the price.
Compare Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 246 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside+8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002183
Frequently asked questions
Is Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.75 versus a price of ¥4.42, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002183?
Our model-based fair value for Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is ¥4.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.42.
What is the quality score of 002183?
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.44, optimistic scenario ¥7.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.75, about +8% upside versus a price of ¥4.42 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥4.44, optimistic scenario ¥7.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 65.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd pay a dividend?
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew 0.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002183 use?
Our models discount Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd that is +14.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd grew 0.0 % a year. The price currently implies +14.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (+14.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.27 %: that much free cash flow Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd it is ¥4.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.42. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002183 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.42, fair value ¥4.75, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002183?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.75). For Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd the two are ¥0.3320 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd worth?
The market values Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd at about 14.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002183?
Our models span a range for Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.44, base ¥4.75, optimistic ¥7.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002183?
The PEG ratio of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.8%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002183 from its 52-week high?
Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd trades at ¥4.42, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥7.62 and 4% above the low of ¥4.26 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.42, calculated fair value ¥4.75 (+8%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002183 calculated?
We run Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.75, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) come from?
Earnings per share at Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd grew −10.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin −19.5 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The market capitalisation of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 14.7B CNY (≈ $2.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Earnings per share at Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd are ¥−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The dividend yield of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 7.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The net margin of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
The operating margin of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183)?
Revenue at Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is growing −17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd (002183) carry?
The net debt of Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd is 5.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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