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Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co (002273) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 50.7B CNY

ZC Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co 002273 · SHE
Price¥27.63
Fair Value¥16.86
Upside-39.0%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.87% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ¥10.23 – ¥21.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −19.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥21.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥10.23 to ¥21.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.50 ¥7.98 Fair Value ¥16.86 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.98 – ¥43.50 · fair‑value band ¥10.23 – ¥21.08 · the ¥27.63 price screens above the ¥16.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co (002273) currently trades at ¥27.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.86, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co generated revenue of 7.2B CNY at a net margin of 16.7%. Revenue grew 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.23 (bear case) to ¥21.08 (bull case); at ¥27.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -39%, 002273 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.05 ¥13.18 ¥25.06 80
Residual Income ¥6.51 ¥7.72 ¥15.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.72 ¥17.63 ¥31.14 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.40 ¥11.90 ¥25.17 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.41 ¥25.37 ¥54.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.72 ¥16.36 ¥31.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.44 ¥22.18 ¥42.13 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.41 ¥24.72 ¥42.17 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.98 ¥17.46 ¥28.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.26 ¥22.73 ¥46.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.24 ¥22.67 ¥44.81 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.73 ¥39.98 ¥56.11 54
Lynch FV ¥12.37 ¥17.67 ¥22.97 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥12.37 ¥17.67 ¥22.97 46
EPV ¥8.23 ¥9.52 ¥10.65 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.74 ¥5.70 ¥9.05 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.74 ¥4.81 ¥5.99 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.65 ¥16.86 ¥21.08 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.34 ¥12.46 ¥15.57 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.75 ¥14.33 ¥17.92 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.75 ¥16.85 ¥20.94 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.15 ¥17.38 ¥21.61 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.75 ¥12.30 ¥15.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.51 ¥4.71 ¥7.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.05 ¥13.18 ¥25.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.72 ¥17.63 ¥31.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.51 ¥7.72 ¥15.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.29 ¥13.19 ¥16.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.35 ¥23.36 ¥30.36 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥23.36) versus Asset-Based (¥4.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.1%
Net margin 16.7%
Return on equity 11.7%
Free cash flow 600M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 41.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8700
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.5%
Net cash 2.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd engages in the research, development, and sale of optical and optoelectronics products in China.

Full company description

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd engages in the research, development, and sale of optical and optoelectronics products in China. The company offers micro light engine, reflective and diffractive optical waveguide, narrow bandpass filters, lens, micro prism assembly, patterned wafers, infrared cut filter and assemblies, diffractive optical elements, reflective black coating, optical low pass filters, rear camera cover glass assemblies, touch ID, smartwatch covers, and screen protectors. It also provides automotive optoelectronics, such as W-HUD, AR-HUD, air projection, lithographic patterned products, lidar optical window, LCOS PGU module, PGU module, smart headlight, hybrid IRCF, freeform reflecting mirror, flat reflector, CMOS cover, automotive CMOS cover, CMS systems, OMS camera, and DMS camera. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co reported revenue of ¥6.9B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+28.5%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.8B
FY22 ¥4.4B
FY23 ¥5.1B
FY24 ¥6.3B
FY25 ¥6.9B
Net income +27.6%/yr
FY21 ¥442M
FY22 ¥576M
FY23 ¥600M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.2B

002273 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002273

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 28.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 81 · sector 32
PAST 47 · sector 24
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co (002273) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.86 versus a price of ¥27.63, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002273?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co is ¥16.86 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥27.63.
What is the quality score of 002273?
Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co (002273)?
Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002273?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co is about 16.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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