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Baolingbao Biology Co (002286) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY

BB Baolingbao Biology Co 002286 · SHE
Price¥8.00
Fair Value¥7.79
Upside-2.6%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.27% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.61 – ¥10.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.61 to ¥10.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.89 ¥4.72 Fair Value ¥7.79 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.72 – ¥14.89 · fair‑value band ¥4.61 – ¥10.39 · the ¥8.00 price screens above the ¥7.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Baolingbao Biology Co (002286) currently trades at ¥8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.79, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Baolingbao Biology Co generated revenue of 2.8B CNY at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 6.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.61 (bear case) to ¥10.39 (bull case); at ¥8.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -3%, 002286 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.74 ¥4.03 ¥6.01 80
Residual Income ¥4.64 ¥4.82 ¥4.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.21 ¥7.00 ¥10.39 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.74 ¥4.10 ¥6.24 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.09 ¥4.68 ¥7.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.21 ¥7.08 ¥10.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.03 ¥10.66 ¥16.34 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.03 ¥8.70 ¥12.76 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.51 ¥6.00 ¥9.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.81 ¥8.49 ¥13.90 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.18 ¥7.13 ¥11.10 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.69 ¥10.47 ¥14.21 54
Lynch FV ¥2.57 ¥3.67 ¥4.77 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.57 ¥3.67 ¥4.77 46
EPV ¥4.65 ¥5.29 ¥5.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7400 ¥1.47 ¥2.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7400 ¥1.27 ¥1.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.23 ¥8.31 ¥10.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.05 ¥6.73 ¥8.41 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.05 ¥6.73 ¥8.41 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.95 ¥9.05 ¥11.16 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.54 ¥11.18 ¥13.82 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.13 ¥7.07 ¥9.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.93 ¥3.93 ¥5.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.74 ¥4.03 ¥6.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.21 ¥7.00 ¥10.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.64 ¥4.82 ¥4.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.65 ¥5.29 ¥5.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.61 ¥6.59 ¥8.56 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.08) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin 5.5%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow 70.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100
Dividend yield 1.3%
Net debt 6.4M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Baolingbao Biology Co.,Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells a range of functional sugars in China. The company offers prebiotics, such as isomaltooligosaccharides, galactooligosaccharides, fructooligosaccharides, bagasse trisaccharides, and xylooligosaccharides; sugar alcohols and new sugar source products, including erythritol, trehalose, …

Full company description

Baolingbao Biology Co.,Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells a range of functional sugars in China. The company offers prebiotics, such as isomaltooligosaccharides, galactooligosaccharides, fructooligosaccharides, bagasse trisaccharides, and xylooligosaccharides; sugar alcohols and new sugar source products, including erythritol, trehalose, crystalline fructose, alodonose, and maltose; dietary fiber products comprising polydextrose and resistant dextrin; modified, waxy maize, and corn starch products; starch sugar products, including oligomaltose, fructose syrup, solid corn syrup, maltodextrin, and glucose syrup; and animal nutrition products comprising baolekang and fubaokang. Its products are used in various applications, such as dairy products, drinks, snacks, health products and dietary supplements, candy, special food items, chemicals for daily use, and animal nutrition. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Yucheng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baolingbao Biology Co reported revenue of ¥2.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥151M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+13.3%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥2.4B
FY25 ¥2.8B
Net income −7.0%/yr
FY21 ¥202M
FY22 ¥133M
FY23 ¥54.0M
FY24 ¥111M
FY25 ¥151M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baolingbao Biology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002286

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 0
FUTURE 46 · sector 0
PAST 28 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baolingbao Biology Co (002286) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.79 versus a price of ¥8.00, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002286?
Our model-based fair value for Baolingbao Biology Co is ¥7.79 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.00.
What is the quality score of 002286?
Baolingbao Biology Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Baolingbao Biology Co (002286)?
Baolingbao Biology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002286?
The net profit margin of Baolingbao Biology Co is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Baolingbao Biology Co pay a dividend?
Baolingbao Biology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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