Jiangsu Zhongli Group (002309) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 9.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +27.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4590). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥0.4420 to ¥0.4590), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.41 – ¥9.42 · fair‑value band ¥0.4420 – ¥0.4590 · the ¥3.25 price screens above the ¥0.4505 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Zhongli Group (002309) currently trades at ¥3.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4505, implying the stock looks roughly 86.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Zhongli Group generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 109.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4420 (bear case) to ¥0.4590 (bull case); at ¥3.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -86%, 002309 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥1.80) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells cables and photovoltaic products in China and internationally. It operates through cable and photovoltaic segments.
Full company description
Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells cables and photovoltaic products in China and internationally. It operates through cable and photovoltaic segments. It provides power, wind, control, data, marine, mine, rail transit, photoelectric composite, electronic line of certification, automobile, board coaxial, communication, and aluminum alloy cables, as well as overhead conductors and steel core aluminum standard wires. The company also offers distribution, dielectric self-supported fiber optic, feeder, and home segment cable products, as well as outdoor central beam tubed optical fiber and optical fiber cable products; polymer materials; solar products; and optical fiber and packaging products. In addition, it provides WLAN, smart grid, shipboard cable, high-speed railway cable, rail transit, new energy cable, and automobile cable solutions, as well as FTTX optical-fiber network integrated and solar roof solutions. Further, the company operates solar power stations. It serves communication, equipment manufacturing, rail transit, power, mining, ship and ocean engineering, and solar new energy industries. The company was formerly known as Zhongli Science and Technology Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co., Ltd. in February 2017. Jiangsu Zhongli Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Changshu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Zhongli Group reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥10.4B in FY2021, a compound −31.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥57.0M in FY2025.
002309 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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