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Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group (002349) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY

JP Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group 002349 · SHE
Price¥6.87
Fair Value¥5.80
Upside-15.6%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.38% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.35 – ¥7.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • Our model range runs from ¥4.35 (bear) to ¥7.26 (bull), base ¥5.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.95 ¥3.81 Fair Value ¥5.80 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.81 – ¥24.95 · fair‑value band ¥4.35 – ¥7.26 · the ¥6.87 price screens above the ¥5.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group (002349) currently trades at ¥6.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.80, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.35 (bear case) to ¥7.26 (bull case); at ¥6.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -16%, 002349 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.21 ¥7.34 ¥10.34 80
Residual Income ¥2.71 ¥2.89 ¥3.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.33 ¥6.31 ¥8.66 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.17 ¥7.64 ¥11.38 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.62 ¥6.78 ¥10.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.33 ¥6.30 ¥8.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.07 ¥7.71 ¥10.81 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.92 ¥7.42 ¥10.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.51 ¥6.37 ¥8.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.06 ¥7.34 ¥10.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.97 ¥7.14 ¥9.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.79 ¥6.22 ¥8.36 54
Lynch FV ¥1.44 ¥2.06 ¥2.68 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.44 ¥2.06 ¥2.68 46
EPV ¥3.49 ¥3.90 ¥4.26 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6900 ¥1.37 ¥2.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6900 ¥1.18 ¥1.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.35 ¥5.80 ¥7.26 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.36 ¥4.49 ¥5.61 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.36 ¥4.49 ¥5.61 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.25 ¥6.70 ¥8.15 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.49 ¥7.03 ¥8.57 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.00 ¥5.33 ¥6.67 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.66 ¥2.22 ¥3.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.21 ¥7.34 ¥10.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.33 ¥6.31 ¥8.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.71 ¥2.89 ¥3.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.55 ¥4.25 ¥5.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.72 ¥5.32 ¥6.91 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.14) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5%
Net margin 15.1%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow 321M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 23.7
More key figures
Operating margin 24.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net cash 1.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of APIs and pharmaceutical intermediates in China. Its primary products include Phenobarbital, Primidone, Fluorouracil, Phenylbutazone, Flucytosine, Piroxicam, and Propylthiouracil APIs.

Full company description

Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of APIs and pharmaceutical intermediates in China. Its primary products include Phenobarbital, Primidone, Fluorouracil, Phenylbutazone, Flucytosine, Piroxicam, and Propylthiouracil APIs. The company was formerly known as Nantong Jinghua Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1957 and is based in Nantong, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥219M in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+10.7%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income +8.1%/yr
FY21 ¥161M
FY22 ¥212M
FY23 ¥248M
FY24 ¥213M
FY25 ¥219M

002349 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002349

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 7
FUTURE 23 · sector 20
PAST 35 · sector 23
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group (002349) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.80 versus a price of ¥6.87, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002349?
Our model-based fair value for Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group is ¥5.80 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.87.
What is the quality score of 002349?
Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group (002349)?
Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002349?
The net profit margin of Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group is about 15.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group pay a dividend?
Jinghua Pharmaceutical Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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