JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd ¥3.32, price ¥6.83, upside -51.4%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.56 – ¥56.13 · fair‑value band ¥1.72 – ¥4.92 · the ¥6.83 price screens above the ¥3.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the production and processing of monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers in Europe, Africa, China, the United States, Asia, Oceania, and internationally.
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JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the production and processing of monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers in Europe, Africa, China, the United States, Asia, Oceania, and internationally. The company offers PV modules; energy storage products; and PV materials, including single crystal furnace, graphites, stencil, PV paste, EVA film, aluminium frame, junction box, and carbon/carbon composite materials. It also provides large-scale power plant solutions, including conventional centralized PV power plants, agri voltaics, floating solar PV power plants, and other forms; multi-energy power plants with wind and solar storage, source-grid-load-storage integrated power plants, and other energy solutions. In addition, the company offers Distributed Commercial Solutions; Household PV System solutions; smart energy management platform; and BESS solutions. JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459) currently trades at ¥6.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.32, 51.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.06 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥6.83 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.14, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.72 (bear) to ¥4.92 (bull), the price of ¥6.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 49.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 41.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −4.6B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 22.6B CNY (≈ $3.4B) · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.43 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin −9.4% · Return on equity −20.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin −14.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −51%, 002459 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.72Fair Value ¥3.32Bull ¥4.92
Price ¥6.83 · Upside -51.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−29.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +65.3% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.4% (2020) → −8.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare JA Solar Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 100 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−51.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−11.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−14.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−37.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.18× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.08× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.8× · Cheapest 25%
PEG1.29× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)41· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)62· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JA Solar Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002459
Frequently asked questions
Is JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.32 versus a price of ¥6.83, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002459?
Our model-based fair value for JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is ¥3.32 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.83.
What is the quality score of 002459?
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.32 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.72, optimistic scenario ¥4.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JA Solar Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.32, about −51% upside versus a price of ¥6.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.72, optimistic scenario ¥4.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does JA Solar Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JA Solar Technology Co Ltd it is ¥3.32 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of ¥6.83. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JA Solar Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 002459 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.83, fair value ¥3.32, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002459?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.32). For JA Solar Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥3.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JA Solar Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values JA Solar Technology Co Ltd at about 22.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.83; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002459?
Our models span a range for JA Solar Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.72, base ¥3.32, optimistic ¥4.92 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price ¥6.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002459?
The PEG ratio of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 1.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Balance-sheet figures for JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −20.6%, debt of 1.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002459 from its 52-week high?
JA Solar Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥6.83, about 55% below its 52-week high of ¥15.29 and 4% above the low of ¥6.56 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JA Solar Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JA Solar Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price ¥6.83, calculated fair value ¥3.32 (−51%), Quality Score 29/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002459 calculated?
We run JA Solar Technology Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. JA Solar Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ¥6.83. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.32, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JA Solar Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥1.72 to ¥4.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The market capitalisation of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 22.6B CNY (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Earnings per share at JA Solar Technology Co Ltd are ¥−1.43. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The dividend yield of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The net margin of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is −9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is −20.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
The operating margin of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is −14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Revenue at JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is growing −37.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459)?
Earnings per share at JA Solar Technology Co Ltd are growing −77.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459) generate?
The free cash flow of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is −764M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does JA Solar Technology Co Ltd (002459) carry?
The net debt of JA Solar Technology Co Ltd is 10.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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