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Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co (002548) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

SK Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co 002548 · SHE
Price¥3.95
Fair Value¥0.8200
Upside-79.2%
Quality25/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.1640 – ¥1.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.1640 to ¥1.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.69 ¥3.31 Fair Value ¥0.8200 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.31 – ¥8.69 · fair‑value band ¥0.1640 – ¥1.61 · the ¥3.95 price screens above the ¥0.8200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co (002548) currently trades at ¥3.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8200, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -33.9%. Net debt stands at 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.1640 (bear case) to ¥1.61 (bull case); at ¥3.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -79%, 002548 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.19 ¥2.03 ¥3.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.9700 ¥1.70 ¥2.60 74
Gordon GGM ¥1.18 ¥2.35 ¥3.56 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.19 ¥2.08 ¥3.50 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9700 ¥1.71 ¥2.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.71 ¥3.16 ¥4.93 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.00 ¥1.70 ¥2.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.50 ¥2.72 ¥4.49 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.18 ¥2.35 ¥3.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.18 ¥2.03 ¥2.48 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.20 ¥2.99 ¥3.78 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.8900 ¥1.35 ¥1.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7400 ¥0.9900 ¥1.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.19 ¥2.03 ¥3.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.9700 ¥1.70 ¥2.60 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.08) versus Asset-Based (¥0.9900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.5%
Net margin -9.2%
Return on equity -33.9%
Free cash flow 96.2M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -8.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.5600
EPS growth (YoY) -74.9%
Net debt 1.9B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the processing, production, and sale of feed in China. The company also engages in the farming and breeding of pigs; provides technologies related to piglet nutrition trades in raw material related to feed production; and produces and sells animal health products and veterinary drugs, functional feed …

Full company description

Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the processing, production, and sale of feed in China. The company also engages in the farming and breeding of pigs; provides technologies related to piglet nutrition trades in raw material related to feed production; and produces and sells animal health products and veterinary drugs, functional feed additives, and aquaculture environment water quality improvers for use in various diseases of pigs and aquaculture. In addition, the company provides billing services for telecom operators. Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co reported revenue of ¥4.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.9B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥293M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+12.4%
Revenue −0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥4.9B
FY22 ¥4.0B
FY23 ¥4.0B
FY24 ¥4.6B
FY25 ¥4.7B
Net income
FY21 −¥992M
FY22 ¥19.9M
FY23 −¥660M
FY24 ¥30.2M
FY25 −¥293M

002548 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002548

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 63 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 82 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co (002548) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8200 versus a price of ¥3.95, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002548?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co is ¥0.8200 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.95.
What is the quality score of 002548?
Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co (002548)?
Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002548?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co is about -9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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