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Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co (002603) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 25.2B CNY

SY Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co 002603 · SHE
Price¥16.99
Fair Value¥16.94
Upside-0.3%
Quality80/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.18% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.71 – ¥21.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +11.0% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥12.71 (bear) to ¥21.18 (bull), base ¥16.94. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 80/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥47.38 ¥12.22 Fair Value ¥16.94 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.22 – ¥47.38 · fair‑value band ¥12.71 – ¥21.18 · the ¥16.99 price screens above the ¥16.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co (002603) currently trades at ¥16.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.94, implying the stock looks roughly 0.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 7.9B CNY at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 835M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.71 (bear case) to ¥21.18 (bull case); at ¥16.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 0%, 002603 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.20 ¥21.47 ¥37.38 80
Residual Income ¥6.05 ¥7.07 ¥13.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.69 ¥18.39 ¥28.49 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.33 ¥22.55 ¥40.65 38
Owner Earnings ¥13.41 ¥24.55 ¥44.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.69 ¥18.59 ¥29.39 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.69 ¥24.87 ¥39.06 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.16 ¥21.68 ¥32.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.80 ¥18.56 ¥30.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.14 ¥23.19 ¥38.80 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.12 ¥20.84 ¥33.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.24 ¥25.42 ¥35.01 54
Lynch FV ¥6.81 ¥9.73 ¥12.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.81 ¥9.73 ¥12.64 46
EPV ¥9.42 ¥10.94 ¥12.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.75 ¥5.73 ¥9.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.75 ¥4.83 ¥6.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.71 ¥16.94 ¥21.18 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.82 ¥13.09 ¥16.36 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.82 ¥13.09 ¥16.36 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.87 ¥18.39 ¥22.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥15.42 ¥20.45 ¥25.49 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.98 ¥14.13 ¥18.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.29 ¥4.41 ¥6.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.20 ¥21.47 ¥37.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.69 ¥18.39 ¥28.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.05 ¥7.07 ¥13.44 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.57 ¥14.46 ¥19.81 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.84 ¥15.49 ¥20.14 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥21.68) versus Asset-Based (¥4.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.5%
Net margin 17.3%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow 1.5B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.4
More key figures
Operating margin 20.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8200
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.4%
Net cash 835M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of traditional Chinese medicine in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of traditional Chinese medicine in China and internationally. It offers dietary supplements, and healthy food and drinks; patent TCM products for respiratory health, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, mellitus, oncology, urologic disease, sleep-improving, and anti-aging; disinfection and personal protective equipment products; and TCM formula granules. Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Shijiazhuang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥7.8B in FY2025 versus ¥10.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+13.3%
Revenue −6.2%/yr
FY21 ¥10.1B
FY22 ¥12.5B
FY23 ¥10.3B
FY24 ¥6.5B
FY25 ¥7.8B
Net income −1.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥2.4B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 −¥725M
FY25 ¥1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002603

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.19× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 7
FUTURE 18 · sector 20
PAST 50 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co (002603) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.94 versus a price of ¥16.99, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002603?
Our model-based fair value for Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co is ¥16.94 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.99.
What is the quality score of 002603?
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co (002603)?
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002603?
The net profit margin of Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co is about 17.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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