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Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co (002821) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 40.9B CNY

AL Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co 002821 · SHE
Price¥172.26
Fair Value¥74.84
Upside-56.6%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.13% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥56.12 – ¥93.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥93.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥353.61 ¥59.36 Fair Value ¥74.84 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥59.36 – ¥353.61 · fair‑value band ¥56.12 – ¥93.55 · the ¥172.26 price screens above the ¥74.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co (002821) currently trades at ¥172.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥74.84, implying the stock looks roughly 56.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co generated revenue of 6.9B CNY at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥56.12 (bear case) to ¥93.55 (bull case); at ¥172.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -57%, 002821 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥25.45 ¥31.06 ¥42.40 80
Residual Income ¥42.30 ¥44.04 ¥45.73 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥48.22 ¥85.52 ¥150.47 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥25.86 ¥29.84 ¥42.51 38
Owner Earnings ¥38.40 ¥63.24 ¥115.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥48.22 ¥77.25 ¥137.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥63.30 ¥108.09 ¥195.30 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥62.71 ¥127.72 ¥217.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥40.63 ¥81.58 ¥115.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥53.10 ¥113.34 ¥230.30 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥52.67 ¥112.09 ¥219.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥23.13 ¥161.31 ¥226.38 54
Lynch FV ¥57.53 ¥82.18 ¥106.84 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥57.53 ¥82.18 ¥106.84 46
EPV ¥50.89 ¥56.22 ¥60.88 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥10.89 ¥22.65 ¥35.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥10.89 ¥19.10 ¥23.77 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥56.13 ¥74.84 ¥93.55 63
P/S Multiple ¥43.37 ¥57.83 ¥72.29 58
P/B Multiple ¥43.37 ¥57.83 ¥72.29 55
EV/EBIT ¥66.95 ¥82.96 ¥98.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥75.85 ¥94.82 ¥113.80 54
EV/Revenue ¥53.20 ¥67.89 ¥82.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥26.48 ¥35.49 ¥52.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥25.45 ¥31.06 ¥42.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥48.22 ¥85.52 ¥150.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥42.30 ¥44.04 ¥45.73 76
ROIC Compounder ¥50.89 ¥61.01 ¥73.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥75.95 ¥108.50 ¥141.05 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥108.50) versus Dividend Discount (¥19.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.9%
Net margin 16.0%
Return on equity 6.3%
Free cash flow 137M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 36.6
More key figures
Operating margin 22.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥3.10
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net cash 5.5B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. provides contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) solutions in Mainland China and internationally.

Full company description

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. provides contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) solutions in Mainland China and internationally. It is involved in small molecule CDMO services for projects covering multiple major disease treatment areas, such as oncology, antiviral, anti-infective, cardiovascular, and diabetes; chemical macromolecule CDMO; biomacromolecule CDMO, including antibody-peptide conjugates; formulation CDMO; clinical CRO; synthetic biology and new technology output business. The company also engages in key pharmaceutical intermediates, APIs, and formulations activities. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co reported revenue of ¥6.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.6B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+22.1%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 ¥4.6B
FY22 ¥10.2B
FY23 ¥7.8B
FY24 ¥5.8B
FY25 ¥6.7B
Net income +1.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥949M
FY25 ¥1.1B

002821 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002821

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 44.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 85 · sector 0
PAST 25 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co (002821) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥74.84 versus a price of ¥172.26, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002821?
Our model-based fair value for Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co is ¥74.84 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥172.26.
What is the quality score of 002821?
Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co (002821)?
Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002821?
The net profit margin of Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co is about 16.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co pay a dividend?
Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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