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Shanghai NAR Industrial Co (002825) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

SN Shanghai NAR Industrial Co 002825 · SHE
Price¥8.45
Fair Value¥7.01
Upside-17.0%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.26 – ¥8.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥7.39 to ¥7.01 (−5.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥5.26 (bear) to ¥8.76 (bull), base ¥7.01. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.23 ¥4.92 Fair Value ¥7.01 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.92 – ¥13.23 · fair‑value band ¥5.26 – ¥8.76 · the ¥8.45 price screens above the ¥7.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai NAR Industrial Co (002825) currently trades at ¥8.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.01, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai NAR Industrial Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 336M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.26 (bear case) to ¥8.76 (bull case); at ¥8.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -17%, 002825 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.90 ¥4.23 ¥5.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.10 ¥4.45 ¥4.88 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.19 ¥2.37 ¥3.59 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.50 ¥3.05 ¥4.01 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.80 ¥14.92 ¥20.66 54
Lynch FV ¥4.11 ¥5.88 ¥7.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.11 ¥5.88 ¥7.64 46
EPV ¥4.10 ¥4.45 ¥4.75 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.19 ¥2.37 ¥3.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.19 ¥2.05 ¥2.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.49 ¥8.66 ¥10.82 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.26 ¥7.01 ¥8.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.26 ¥7.01 ¥8.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.33 ¥6.48 ¥7.63 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.69 ¥8.29 ¥9.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.34 ¥5.40 ¥6.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.32 ¥3.11 ¥4.65 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.90 ¥4.23 ¥5.22 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.10 ¥4.45 ¥4.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.08 ¥8.68 ¥11.29 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.68) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.05). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow −97.6M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700
EPS growth (YoY) -75.0%
Net cash 336M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai NAR Industrial Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells digital printing materials, automotive functional films, and optical and electronic functional films in China.

Full company description

Shanghai NAR Industrial Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells digital printing materials, automotive functional films, and optical and electronic functional films in China. The company provides self-adhesive vinyl series, one-way vision films, cold laminating films, glass films, floor graphics, as well as decoration and functional materials, such as internal decoration films, wallpaper and wall graphics, release materials, paint protection films, paint wrapping color films, and optical and electronic functional films under the NAR, INFLEX, BN, NAR PPF, Yifan, INKBANK, PPFSHELL, NarPremium, Proflex, NAR hydrogen, and AIPRINT brand names. Its products have applications in indoor and outdoor advertising and decoration, paint printing film, and new energy. Shanghai NAR Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai NAR Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥141M in FY2025, compounding +23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+12.2%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥2.0B
Net income +23.0%/yr
FY21 ¥61.7M
FY22 ¥352M
FY23 ¥100M
FY24 ¥126M
FY25 ¥141M

002825 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai NAR Industrial Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002825

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 24
FUTURE 68 · sector 25
PAST 23 · sector 33
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai NAR Industrial Co (002825) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.01 versus a price of ¥8.45, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002825?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai NAR Industrial Co is ¥7.01 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.45.
What is the quality score of 002825?
Shanghai NAR Industrial Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai NAR Industrial Co (002825)?
Shanghai NAR Industrial Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002825?
The net profit margin of Shanghai NAR Industrial Co is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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