EN DE

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co (002852) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY

DG Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co 002852 · SHE
Price¥7.93
Fair Value¥12.18
Upside+53.6%
Quality66/100
Watch Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.74% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.82 – ¥15.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥8.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.72 ¥5.78 Fair Value ¥12.18 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.78 – ¥15.72 · fair‑value band ¥8.82 – ¥15.55 · the ¥7.93 price screens below the ¥12.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co (002852) currently trades at ¥7.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.18, implying the stock looks roughly 53.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 439M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.82 (bear case) to ¥15.55 (bull case); at ¥7.93, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 54%, 002852 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.74 ¥6.37 ¥9.09 76
Growth DCF ¥28.79 ¥41.34 ¥58.67 72
Gordon GGM ¥3.56 ¥7.10 ¥10.75 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥28.45 ¥42.77 ¥63.89 38
Owner Earnings ¥9.00 ¥12.94 ¥18.74 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥15.68 ¥20.72 ¥26.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.99 ¥25.06 ¥33.02 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.37 ¥23.90 ¥30.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥19.99 ¥25.68 ¥32.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.65 ¥28.63 ¥37.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥21.26 ¥27.84 ¥35.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.62 ¥14.69 ¥19.57 54
Lynch FV ¥3.24 ¥4.62 ¥6.01 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.24 ¥4.62 ¥6.01 46
EPV ¥7.68 ¥8.64 ¥9.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.56 ¥7.10 ¥10.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.56 ¥5.85 ¥7.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.69 ¥14.26 ¥17.82 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.66 ¥11.54 ¥14.43 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.66 ¥11.54 ¥14.43 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.71 ¥15.08 ¥18.44 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.40 ¥17.33 ¥21.25 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.82 ¥11.91 ¥15.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.26 ¥4.37 ¥6.53 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥28.79 ¥41.34 ¥58.67 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.68 ¥21.11 ¥27.53 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.74 ¥6.37 ¥9.09 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.95 ¥9.58 ¥11.56 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.91 ¥12.73 ¥16.55 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥25.06) versus Asset-Based (¥4.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Notify me when 002852 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow 850M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -86.7%
Net debt 439M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of edible vegetable oil products in China.

Full company description

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of edible vegetable oil products in China. The company offers soybean oil; sunflower oil; pressed, raw, and pure rapeseed oil; pure peanut oil; Jinzun corn oil; edible vegetable blend oil; edible plant blend oil; and press, flavor, pure, blending, gift, and catering oil series products. It sells its products online under the Dao Dao Quan, Caizi King, King, Poseidon, Rapeseed King, and Jincai King brands. The company is also involved in transportation and logistics support services; media; food wholesale; trade; and e-commerce activities. Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co reported revenue of ¥6.2B in FY2025 versus ¥5.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥234M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue +3.3%/yr
FY21 ¥5.4B
FY22 ¥7.0B
FY23 ¥7.0B
FY24 ¥5.9B
FY25 ¥6.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥192M
FY22 −¥418M
FY23 ¥75.8M
FY24 ¥177M
FY25 ¥234M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −6.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.4 pp

of which total revenue +12.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.6 pp

EBIT margin −12.2 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 002852: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002852

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 651 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +54% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.21× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 14 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 75 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 79.00 TWD 68.72 TWD -13%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%

Compare Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co (002852) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.18 versus a price of ¥7.93, about +54% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002852?
Our model-based fair value for Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co is ¥12.18 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.93.
What is the quality score of 002852?
Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co (002852)?
Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002852?
The net profit margin of Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co pay a dividend?
Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.