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Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group (002872) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 1.6B CNY

TP Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group 002872 · SHE
Price¥5.34
Fair Value¥3.67
Upside-31.3%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -10.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.75 – ¥4.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.94 ¥3.24 Fair Value ¥3.67 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.24 – ¥5.94 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥4.60 · the ¥5.34 price screens above the ¥3.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group (002872) currently trades at ¥5.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.67, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 514M CNY at a net margin of -10.8%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.8%. Net debt stands at 6.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.75 (bear case) to ¥4.60 (bull case); at ¥5.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -31%, 002872 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.3900 to ¥4.15). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.8700 ¥0.9900 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.8700 ¥1.06 ¥1.30 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.3700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4400 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.8600 ¥0.9800 ¥1.19 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.47 ¥1.78 ¥2.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8700 ¥1.05 ¥1.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.96 ¥2.95 ¥4.25 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8500 ¥0.9800 ¥1.12 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.47 ¥2.05 ¥2.68 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3700 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5300 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥3.22 ¥4.15 ¥5.07 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.9100 ¥1.11 ¥1.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.07 ¥4.11 ¥6.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.8700 ¥0.9900 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.8700 ¥1.06 ¥1.30 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.11) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 514M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.2%
Net margin -10.8%
Return on equity -2.8%
Free cash flow 16.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -7.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1700
Net debt 6.7M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical manufacturing and circulation activities. It offers products in various categories, including respiratory, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular, urinary system, gynecological, orthopedic, cardiology, diabetes, anesthetic, and others.

Full company description

Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical manufacturing and circulation activities. It offers products in various categories, including respiratory, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular, urinary system, gynecological, orthopedic, cardiology, diabetes, anesthetic, and others. It also provides traditional Chinese medicines and glucose injection. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥514M in FY2025 versus ¥737M in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥55.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
514M CNY
Latest YoY
−9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue −8.6%/yr
FY21 ¥737M
FY22 ¥607M
FY23 ¥579M
FY24 ¥570M
FY25 ¥514M
Net income
FY21 −¥67.8M
FY22 −¥90.6M
FY23 −¥93.1M
FY24 −¥87.4M
FY25 −¥55.4M

002872 screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002872

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 71 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group (002872) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.67 versus a price of ¥5.34, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002872?
Our model-based fair value for Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group is ¥3.67 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.34.
What is the quality score of 002872?
Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group (002872)?
Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 514M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002872?
The net profit margin of Tiansheng Pharmaceutical Group is about -10.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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