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Cipherlab Co (6160) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.1B TWD

CC Cipherlab Co 6160 · TWO
Price14.15 TWD
Fair Value5.55 TWD
Upside-60.8%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -7.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range 5.11 TWD – 6.22 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 5.65 TWD to 5.55 TWD (−1.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −14.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.22 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

38.81 TWD 12.47 TWD Fair Value 5.55 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.47 TWD – 38.81 TWD · fair‑value band 5.11 TWD – 6.22 TWD · the 14.15 TWD price screens above the 5.55 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Cipherlab Co (6160) currently trades at 14.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.55 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cipherlab Co generated revenue of 1.2B TWD at a net margin of -7.8%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.6%. Net debt stands at 66.9M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.11 TWD (bear case) to 6.22 TWD (bull case); at 14.15 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -61%, 6160 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 4.66 TWD 5.02 TWD 5.57 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 4.66 TWD 5.55 TWD 6.69 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 4.71 TWD 6.31 TWD 9.42 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.66 TWD 5.02 TWD 5.57 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 4.66 TWD 5.55 TWD 6.69 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.71 TWD 6.31 TWD 9.42 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (6.31 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (5.02 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin -7.8%
Return on equity -13.6%
Free cash flow −32.3M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -10.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.19 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -99.6%
Net debt 66.9M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cipherlab Co.,Ltd. designs, manufactures, markets, and sells automatic identification and data capture products under the CipherLab brand name in Taiwan, Mainland China, and the United States.

Full company description

Cipherlab Co.,Ltd. designs, manufactures, markets, and sells automatic identification and data capture products under the CipherLab brand name in Taiwan, Mainland China, and the United States. The company offers windows/android and proprietary mobile computers; general purpose, business durable, and pocket sized barcode scanners; HF and UHF radio frequency identification readers; and software solutions comprising deployment and development tools, device management, terminal emulators, enterprise browser, optical character recognition, programming, and scanner software. It also provides computer-related products, such as peripheral equipment, electronic cash registers, magnetic card readers, and electronic measuring instruments; services for skincare products; and import and export trade services, as well as acts as domestic and foreign manufacturers' agents for distribution. The company serves warehouse, transportation and logistics, field mobility, retail, manufacturing, and healthcare industries, as well as the government. Cipherlab Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cipherlab Co reported revenue of 1.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −81.7M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 12/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B TWD
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 1.4B TWD
FY22 1.3B TWD
FY23 1.4B TWD
FY24 1.3B TWD
FY25 1.2B TWD
Net income
FY21 35.5M TWD
FY22 32.3M TWD
FY23 −4.4M TWD
FY24 −39.1M TWD
FY25 −81.7M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2012-2023) −5.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.9 pp

of which total revenue −0.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −1.1 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

6160 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cipherlab Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6160

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 72 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

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DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,260 ₹782.96 -65%
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Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥6.99 ¥1.75 -75%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.30 ¥3.11 -57%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.00 ¥1.73 -71%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥11.92 ¥21.12 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cipherlab Co (6160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.55 TWD versus a price of 14.15 TWD, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6160?
Our model-based fair value for Cipherlab Co is 5.55 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6160?
Cipherlab Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cipherlab Co (6160)?
Cipherlab Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6160?
The net profit margin of Cipherlab Co is about -7.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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