Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd stock ¥0.77, price ¥8.69, upside -91.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.83 – ¥16.93 · fair‑value band ¥0.5355 – ¥0.8755 · the ¥8.69 price screens above the ¥0.7650 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of micro motors in China.
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The company offers servo systems, including servo motors and drives; shaded pole motors; tangential blowers; universal motors; stepper motors; brushless direct current motors; and pump motors.
Its products are used in 5G base station, robot, intelligent appliances, medical and health care, industrial automation and internet of things, 3D printer, commercial office, stage lighting, security monitoring, HVAC refrigeration, new energy sector, and electric tool industries.
It also exports its products to the United States, Spain, Germany, Italy, and internationally. Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Hunan Keli Motor Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. in May 2019.
Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) currently trades at ¥8.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7650, 91.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9000 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥8.69 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.1000, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.5355 (bear) to ¥0.8755 (bull), the price of ¥8.69 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 33.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding −24.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.3B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 351.0 · P/S ratio 6.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −91%, 002892 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1000 to ¥6.22). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.5355Fair Value ¥0.7650Bull¥0.8755
Price ¥8.69 · Upside -91.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥1.02¥0.9800¥0.960076
EPV¥0.2100¥0.2700¥0.320074
ROIC Compounder¥0.2100¥0.2700¥0.320072
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.2700¥1.50¥2.0963
Lynch FV¥0.4200¥0.6000¥0.780061
PEG = 1.0¥0.4200¥0.6000¥0.780057
EPV¥0.2100¥0.2700¥0.320074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.4000¥0.7100¥0.970068
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.4000¥0.6600¥0.760067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥0.6200¥0.8200¥1.0363
P/S Multiple¥0.5000¥0.6700¥0.830058
P/B Multiple¥4.67¥6.22¥7.7855
EV/EBIT¥0.6000¥0.8900¥1.1765
EV/EBITDA¥1.12¥1.58¥2.0467
EV/Revenue¥0.3500¥0.6200¥0.880052
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.0700¥0.1000¥0.120055
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥1.02¥0.9800¥0.960076
ROIC Compounder¥0.2100¥0.2700¥0.320072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥0.6300¥0.9000¥1.1767
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−16.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.2% vs −11.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 3%
Compare Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 552 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−91.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)351.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.73× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.79× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)76· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)80· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002892
Frequently asked questions
Is Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7650 versus a price of ¥8.69, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002892?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is ¥0.7650 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.69.
What is the quality score of 002892?
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.7650 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.5355, optimistic scenario ¥0.8755. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.7650, about −91% upside versus a price of ¥8.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.5355, optimistic scenario ¥0.8755. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd it is ¥0.7650 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ¥8.69. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 002892 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.69, fair value ¥0.7650, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002892?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.7650). For Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd the two are ¥7.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd at about 7.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.7650 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002892?
Our models span a range for Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.5355, base ¥0.7650, optimistic ¥0.8755 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ¥8.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002892?
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 351.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.7650 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.7, P/S 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −1.2%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002892 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd trades at ¥8.69, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥14.07 and 10% above the low of ¥7.90 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.7650 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ¥8.69, calculated fair value ¥0.7650 (−91%), Quality Score 35/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002892 calculated?
We run Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.7650, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was ¥8.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.7650, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8755). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) come from?
Earnings per share at Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd grew −3.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −11.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 7.3B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 6.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd are ¥−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 351.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The dividend yield of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The net margin of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
The operating margin of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892)?
Revenue at Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is growing +15.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is −326M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd (002892) carry?
The net debt of Hunan Keli Motor Co Ltd is 221M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026