Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno ¥14.85, price ¥13.50, upside +10.0%, quality 80 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.75 – ¥19.56 · fair‑value band ¥12.01 – ¥17.69 · the ¥13.50 price screens below the ¥14.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sales of rail transit products.
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Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Technology Corp., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sales of rail transit products. The company offers axle counter system, axle counter system, point heating system, lightning protection wiring cabinet, intelligent power integrated protection cabinet, cable formed cabinet, power supply lightning protection box, intelligent power distribution box, 5T signal lightning protection box, 5T power supply lightning protection box, surge protective device, and secondary lightning protection equipment. It also provides lightning protection detection service, flashover and grounding materials, signal monitoring lightning protection wiring cabinet, railway signal cable monitoring system, lightning protection device online monitoring system, power distribution integrated automation system, ac and dc power supply equipment, stray current monitoring and protection system, network information security products, and system integration products. Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Technology Corp., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) currently trades at ¥13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.85, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥11.78 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥13.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.34, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥12.01 (bear) to ¥17.69 (bull), the price of ¥13.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno reported revenue of 376M CNY in FY2025 versus 401M CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 87.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −12.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.9B CNY (≈ $580M) · P/E ratio 35.5 · P/S ratio 8.27 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3800 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 23.3% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at 10%, 002972 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.01Fair Value ¥14.85Bull ¥17.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0585 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.44% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.0% a year for the price.
Compare Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)46% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
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Is Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.85 versus a price of ¥13.50, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002972?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is ¥14.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.50.
What is the quality score of 002972?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.01, optimistic scenario ¥17.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.85, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥13.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.01, optimistic scenario ¥17.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 391M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno would have to grow free cash flow by +4.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002972 use?
Our models discount Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno that is +4.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies +4.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (+4.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.94 %: that much free cash flow Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno it is ¥14.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002972 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥13.50, fair value ¥14.85, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002972?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.85). For Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno the two are ¥1.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno worth?
The market values Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno at about 3.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002972?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno: cautious scenario ¥12.01, base ¥14.85, optimistic ¥17.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002972?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 9.9, EV/EBITDA 31.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 80/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002972 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno trades at ¥13.50, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥19.56 and 28% above the low of ¥10.55 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.50, calculated fair value ¥14.85 (+10%), Quality Score 80/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002972 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥13.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.85, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) come from?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno grew +0.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 3.9B CNY (≈ $580M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 8.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno are ¥0.3800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 2.2% (payout 78.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 23.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is 46.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno is growing +14.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno are growing +15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno (002972) hold?
Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Techno holds more cash than debt, 505M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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