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Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect (003021) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 26.3B CNY

HZ Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect 003021 · SHE
Price¥68.04
Fair Value¥14.22
Upside-79.1%
Quality50/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.1% net margin

Risks

!Trades 79% ABOVE our fair value of ¥14.22
!Expensive Growth
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.39% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.94 – ¥18.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price −13.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥161.55 ¥17.94 Fair Value ¥14.22 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.94 – ¥161.55 · fair‑value band ¥11.94 – ¥18.49 · the ¥68.04 price screens above the ¥14.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect (003021) currently trades at ¥68.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.22, implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 76.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.94 (bear case) to ¥18.49 (bull case); at ¥68.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -79%, 003021 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥4.56 to ¥36.59). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.81 ¥12.49 ¥13.60 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.03 ¥10.40 ¥11.61 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.60 ¥5.41 ¥8.58 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥10.93 ¥19.99 ¥36.37 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.18 ¥36.59 ¥50.55 54
Lynch FV ¥9.96 ¥14.22 ¥18.49 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.96 ¥14.22 ¥18.49 46
EPV ¥9.03 ¥10.40 ¥11.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.60 ¥5.41 ¥8.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.60 ¥4.56 ¥5.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.63 ¥22.18 ¥27.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.69 ¥14.25 ¥17.81 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.46 ¥17.95 ¥22.44 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.05 ¥17.14 ¥21.23 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.15 ¥18.61 ¥23.06 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.54 ¥13.29 ¥17.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.23 ¥9.69 ¥14.46 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.81 ¥12.49 ¥13.60 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.03 ¥10.40 ¥11.61 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.05 ¥21.50 ¥27.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥21.50) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.7%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow −11.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 98.3 as of Jun 16, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.00
Dividend yield 0.4%
Net cash 76.7M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of micro transmission and drive systems in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of micro transmission and drive systems in China and internationally. The company offers brushed, brushless, stepper, and coreless gear motors; slotless and brushless DC motors; planetary gearboxes; smart home, communication, automotive, robot, industrial equipment, medical equipment, and consumer electronics drives; and encoders and controls, as well as precision parts and molds. It also provides smart mobility, smart healthcare, industrial automation, and smart consumption solutions. In addition, the company engages in venture capital and asset management plan activities. It serves the customized, telecommunications, consumer electronics, automotive, robotics, industrial equipment, smart home, and medical and healthcare markets. Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥254M in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.4%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income +14.6%/yr
FY21 ¥148M
FY22 ¥150M
FY23 ¥180M
FY24 ¥225M
FY25 ¥254M

003021 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003021

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 546 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 98.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 15.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 89.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 57
PAST23 · sector 26
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND11 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 -40%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 269.00 THB 40.28 THB -85%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW -45%
WEG S.A WEGE3 14,900 ARS 4,338 ARS -71%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥117.53 ¥123.83 +5%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 752,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -51%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 206,500 KRW 29,594 KRW -86%
Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation 298040 2,857,000 KRW 1,013,099 KRW -65%
Hitachi Energy India Limited POWERINDIA ₹33,510 ₹6,106 -82%
CG Power and Industrial Solutions Limited CGPOWER ₹893.95 ₹130.16 -85%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect (003021) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.22 versus a price of ¥68.04, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 003021?
Our model-based fair value for Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect is ¥14.22 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥68.04.
What is the quality score of 003021?
Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect (003021)?
Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003021?
The net profit margin of Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect pay a dividend?
Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery And Elect currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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