Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥20.46 – ¥195.57 · fair‑value band ¥43.88 – ¥97.96 · the ¥135.50 price screens above the ¥68.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. develops, produces, and sells electronic ceramic products in China and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Third-Generation Semiconductor Devices and Modules; and Electronic Ceramic Materials and Components.
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Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. develops, produces, and sells electronic ceramic products in China and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Third-Generation Semiconductor Devices and Modules; and Electronic Ceramic Materials and Components. The Third-Generation Semiconductor Devices and Modules provides gallium nitride communication base station RF chips and devices and silicon carbide power modules. The Electronic Ceramics business segment offers electronic ceramic casings for communication devices, electronic ceramic casings for industrial lasers, consumer electronic ceramic casings and substrates, automotive electronic parts, precision ceramic components; and money nitride communication base station RF chips. It offers its products for use in electronic ceramic products for use in the areas of optical communications, wireless communications, rail transportation, industrial lasers, consumer electronics, low-carbon heating and cooling, automotive electronics, semiconductors equipment and other fields. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Shijiazhuang, China.
Stock analysis
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) currently trades at ¥135.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥68.46, implying the stock looks roughly 97.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥37.68 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥135.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.53, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥43.88 (bear) to ¥97.96 (bull), the price of ¥135.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog reported revenue of 2.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +29.8%/yr. Reported net income was 563M CNY in FY2025, compounding +46.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 61.1B CNY (≈ $9.1B) · P/E ratio 96.1 · P/S ratio 18.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.41 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 200% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −49%, 003031 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥6.76 to ¥59.16). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥43.88Fair Value ¥68.46Bull ¥97.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.7042 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25% vs 3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 23%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.2%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth79% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)96.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B7.76× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)14.80× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF16.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA50.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥68.46 versus a price of ¥135.50, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 003031?
Our model-based fair value for Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is ¥68.46 (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥135.50.
What is the quality score of 003031?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥68.46 (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥43.88, optimistic scenario ¥97.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥68.46, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥135.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥43.88, optimistic scenario ¥97.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog pay a dividend?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog would have to grow free cash flow by +47.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.7 % per year. As of Sep 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 003031 use?
Our models discount Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.79, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog that is +47.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog grew +28.7 % a year. The price currently implies +47.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (+47.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.73 %: that much free cash flow Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog it is ¥68.46 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of ¥135.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, 003031 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥135.50, fair value ¥68.46, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 003031?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥135.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥68.46). For Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog the two are ¥67.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog worth?
The market values Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog at about 61.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is ¥135.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥68.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 003031?
Our models span a range for Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog: cautious scenario ¥43.88, base ¥68.46, optimistic ¥97.96 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price ¥135.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 003031?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 96.1 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥68.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.8, P/S 14.8, EV/EBITDA 50.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 003031 from its 52-week high?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog trades at ¥135.50, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥175.97 and 200% above the low of ¥45.18 (as of Sep 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥68.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Luxshare Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price ¥135.50, calculated fair value ¥68.46 (−49%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 003031 calculated?
We run Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥68.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ¥135.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥68.46, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥97.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥43.88 to ¥97.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog
How large is the market capitalisation of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The market capitalisation of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 61.1B CNY (≈ $9.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 18.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Earnings per share at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog are ¥1.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 96.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The dividend yield of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 0.3% (payout 31.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The net margin of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
The operating margin of Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is 20.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Revenue at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog is growing +79.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031)?
Earnings per share at Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog are growing +59.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog (003031) hold?
Hebei Sinopack Electronic Technolog holds more cash than debt, 2.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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