China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$2.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.01 to HK$1.50 (+48.5%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 194% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$1.06 to HK$1.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2600 – HK$0.8000 · fair‑value band HK$1.06 – HK$1.95 · the HK$0.5100 price screens below the HK$1.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) currently trades at HK$0.5100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 194.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$4.0B at a net margin of -4.1%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.1%. Net debt stands at HK$850M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.06 (bear case) to HK$1.95 (bull case); at HK$0.5100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at 194%, 0031 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.58) versus Multiples (HK$1.57). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Aerospace International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates hi-tech manufacturing and aerospace service business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
Full company description
China Aerospace International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates hi-tech manufacturing and aerospace service business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. The company offers plastic products, liquid crystal display, printed circuit boards, and intelligent chargers and power modules, as well as invests in industrial property. It also distributes plastic, metals, modules, and packing products; electronic components; LCD modules; and manufactures and distributes moulds. In addition, the company engages in electroplating of metals; and provision of property management and treasury services. Further, it offers electronic products, power products and semiconductor products, as well as the property management business. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$4.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$166M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Electronic Components · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,790 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥143.23 | ¥36.30 | -75% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$238.60 | HK$75.68 | -68% |
| Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 | HK$38.70 | HK$8.95 | -77% |
| Asia Vital Components Co 3017 | 2,910 TWD | 1,369 TWD | -53% |
| Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 | 1,215 TWD | 1,768 TWD | +46% |
| Zhen Ding Technology Holding 4958 | 477.50 TWD | 136.13 TWD | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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