China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd stock HK$1.20, price HK$0.40, upside +200.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2600 – HK$0.8000 · fair‑value band HK$0.8480 – HK$1.56 · the HK$0.4000 price screens below the HK$1.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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China Aerospace International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates hi-tech manufacturing and aerospace service business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.
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The company offers plastic products, liquid crystal display, printed circuit boards, and intelligent chargers and power modules, as well as invests in industrial property.
It also distributes plastic, metals, modules, and packing products; electronic components; LCD modules; and manufactures and distributes moulds. In addition, the company engages in electroplating of metals; and provision of property management and treasury services.
Further, it offers electronic products, power products and semiconductor products, as well as the property management business. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) currently trades at HK$0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.8480 (bear) to HK$1.56 (bull), the price of HK$0.4000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$4.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$166M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.2B (≈ $157M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.34 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin −4.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$4.1B · Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 200%, 0031 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.8480Fair Value HK$1.20BullHK$1.56
Price HK$0.4000 · Upside +200.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.5% (2020) → 0.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 647 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−5.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−4.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0031
Frequently asked questions
Is China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.20 versus a price of HK$0.4000, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0031?
Our model-based fair value for China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.20 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4000.
What is the quality score of 0031?
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.20 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.8480, optimistic scenario HK$1.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.20, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.4000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.8480, optimistic scenario HK$1.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.20 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4000. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0031 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4000, fair value HK$1.20, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0031?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.20). For China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.8000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0031?
Our models span a range for China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.8480, base HK$1.20, optimistic HK$1.56 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price HK$0.4000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −3.9%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0031 from its 52-week high?
China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4000, about 47% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7500 and at the low of HK$0.4000 (as of Oct 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price HK$0.4000, calculated fair value HK$1.20 (+200%), Quality Score 39/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0031 calculated?
We run China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The closing price on Oct 21, 2026 was HK$0.4000. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.20, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.8480). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8480 to HK$1.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The market capitalisation of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.2B (≈ $157M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The net margin of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
The operating margin of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
Revenue at China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031)?
Earnings per share at China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd are growing +122% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) generate?
The free cash flow of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is −HK$377M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd (0031) carry?
The net debt of China Aerospace International Holdings Ltd is HK$850M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026