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Youlchon Chemical Co (008730) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 318B KRW

YC Youlchon Chemical Co 008730 · KO
Price15,060 KRW
Fair Value2,855 KRW
Upside-81.0%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.94% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range 2,141 KRW – 3,569 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,569 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

48,427 KRW 12,520 KRW Fair Value 2,855 KRW Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12,520 KRW – 48,427 KRW · fair‑value band 2,141 KRW – 3,569 KRW · the 15,060 KRW price screens above the 2,855 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Youlchon Chemical Co (008730) currently trades at 15,060 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,855 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Youlchon Chemical Co generated revenue of 480B KRW at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.0%. Net debt stands at 263B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,141 KRW (bear case) to 3,569 KRW (bull case); at 15,060 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -81%, 008730 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (131.72 KRW to 8,833 KRW). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 8,277 KRW 7,797 KRW 6,013 KRW 76
Growth-Adj P/E 1,527 KRW 2,182 KRW 2,837 KRW 68
P/E Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 63
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,142 KRW 2,063 KRW 2,545 KRW 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 475.04 KRW 1,677 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 5,542 KRW 8,833 KRW 12,124 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 131.72 KRW 1,471 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,891 KRW 7,895 KRW 11,783 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8,277 KRW 7,797 KRW 6,013 KRW 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,527 KRW 2,182 KRW 2,837 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (7,895 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (2,063 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 480B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.2%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity -1.0%
Free cash flow −7.8B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 0.4%
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -82.6%
Net debt 263B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. produces and sells functional packaging materials. The company offers adhesive and composite materials for surface protection of various electronic materials; silicon liner for industrial tape and optical tape liner materials; and hard coating material for display materials.

Full company description

Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. produces and sells functional packaging materials. The company offers adhesive and composite materials for surface protection of various electronic materials; silicon liner for industrial tape and optical tape liner materials; and hard coating material for display materials. It also provides flexible packaging materials for food, daily commodities, and functional packaging; biaxial oriented polypropylene films, casted polypropylene films, and polypropylene shrink films; and corrugated boards. Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Youlchon Chemical Co reported revenue of 485B KRW in FY2025 versus 539B KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 4.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
485B KRW
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Revenue −2.6%/yr
FY21 539B KRW
FY22 458B KRW
FY23 414B KRW
FY24 457B KRW
FY25 485B KRW
Net income −16.2%/yr
FY21 8.5B KRW
FY22 −4.1B KRW
FY23 −19.1B KRW
FY24 −8.5B KRW
FY25 4.2B KRW

008730 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Youlchon Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/008730

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 78 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Youlchon Chemical Co (008730) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,855 KRW versus a price of 15,060 KRW, about −81% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 008730?
Our model-based fair value for Youlchon Chemical Co is 2,855 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15,060 KRW.
What is the quality score of 008730?
Youlchon Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Youlchon Chemical Co (008730)?
Youlchon Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 480B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 008730?
The net profit margin of Youlchon Chemical Co is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Youlchon Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Youlchon Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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