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Youlchon Chem (008730) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Youlchon Chem KRW 2,855, price KRW 14,870, upside -80.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · KR · ISIN KR7008730004

YC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Youlchon Chem

008730 · KO

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2,855 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.9%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.68% dividend yield
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

48,427 KRW 12,520 KRW Fair Value 2,855 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12,520 KRW – 48,427 KRW · fair‑value band 2,141 KRW – 3,569 KRW · the 14,870 KRW price screens above the 2,855 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. produces and sells functional packaging materials. The company offers adhesive and composite materials for surface protection of various electronic materials; silicon liner for industrial tape and optical tape liner materials; and hard coating material for display materials.

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Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. produces and sells functional packaging materials. The company offers adhesive and composite materials for surface protection of various electronic materials; silicon liner for industrial tape and optical tape liner materials; and hard coating material for display materials. It also provides flexible packaging materials for food, daily commodities, and functional packaging; biaxial oriented polypropylene films, casted polypropylene films, and polypropylene shrink films; and corrugated boards. Youlchon Chemical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Youlchon Chem (008730) currently trades at 14,870 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,855 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 420.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7,895 KRW per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 14,870 KRW price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2,063 KRW, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 2,141 KRW (bear) to 3,569 KRW (bull), the price of 14,870 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Youlchon Chem reported revenue of 485B KRW in FY2025 versus 539B KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 4.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 369B KRW (≈ $258M) · P/S ratio 0.66 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity −1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 0.4% · Revenue (TTM) 480B KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −81%, 008730 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (131.72 KRW to 8,833 KRW). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 2,141 KRW Fair Value 2,855 KRW Bull 3,569 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 7,309 KRW 6,567 KRW 4,252 KRW 76
Growth-Adj P/E 1,527 KRW 2,182 KRW 2,837 KRW 67
Graham-Dodd 1,142 KRW 2,063 KRW 2,545 KRW 66
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1,142 KRW 2,063 KRW 2,545 KRW 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 2,141 KRW 2,855 KRW 3,569 KRW 55
EV/EBIT n/a 475.04 KRW 1,677 KRW 61
EV/EBITDA 5,542 KRW 8,833 KRW 12,124 KRW 66
EV/Revenue n/a 131.72 KRW 1,471 KRW 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,891 KRW 7,895 KRW 11,783 KRW 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7,309 KRW 6,567 KRW 4,252 KRW 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,527 KRW 2,182 KRW 2,837 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

008730 screens 421% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.45× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)34 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $238.23 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.71 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Youlchon Chem · Fair Value
2,855 KRW −421%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Youlchon Chem Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/008730

Frequently asked questions

Is Youlchon Chem (008730) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,855 KRW versus a price of 14,870 KRW, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 008730?
Our model-based fair value for Youlchon Chem is 2,855 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14,870 KRW.
What is the quality score of 008730?
Youlchon Chem has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,855 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,141 KRW, optimistic scenario 3,569 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Youlchon Chem stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,855 KRW, about −81% upside versus a price of 14,870 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2,141 KRW, optimistic scenario 3,569 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Youlchon Chem reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 480B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Youlchon Chem pay a dividend?
Youlchon Chem currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Youlchon Chem it is 2,855 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14,870 KRW. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Youlchon Chem stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 008730 trades above its calculated fair value: price 14,870 KRW, fair value 2,855 KRW, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 008730?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14,870 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,855 KRW). For Youlchon Chem the two are 12,015 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Youlchon Chem worth?
The market values Youlchon Chem at about 369B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14,870 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 2,855 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 008730?
Our models span a range for Youlchon Chem: cautious scenario 2,141 KRW, base 2,855 KRW, optimistic 3,569 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 14,870 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Balance-sheet figures for Youlchon Chem (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.0%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 008730 from its 52-week high?
Youlchon Chem trades at 14,870 KRW, about 61% below its 52-week high of 37,793 KRW and 19% above the low of 12,520 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,855 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Youlchon Chem?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Youlchon Chem stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14,870 KRW, calculated fair value 2,855 KRW (−81%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 008730 calculated?
We run Youlchon Chem through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,855 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Youlchon Chem itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 14,870 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 2,855 KRW, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Youlchon Chem right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,569 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Youlchon Chem

How large is the market capitalisation of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The market capitalisation of Youlchon Chem is 369B KRW (≈ $258M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Youlchon Chem is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The dividend yield of Youlchon Chem is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The net margin of Youlchon Chem is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Youlchon Chem is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Youlchon Chem is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Youlchon Chem (008730)?
The operating margin of Youlchon Chem is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Revenue at Youlchon Chem is growing −4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Youlchon Chem (008730)?
Earnings per share at Youlchon Chem are growing −82.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Youlchon Chem (008730) generate?
The free cash flow of Youlchon Chem is −7.8B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Youlchon Chem (008730) carry?
The net debt of Youlchon Chem is 263B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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