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Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd (0391) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$592M (≈ $75.5M) · ISIN BMG5964A1523

What is Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd really worth?

MA Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd 0391 · HK
PriceHK$0.3150
Fair ValueHK$0.0300
Upside−90.5%
Quality42/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 950% above our fair value of HK$0.0300.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd is HK$0.0300 per share against a price of HK$0.3150, so the fair value sits 90% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -48.9% net margin
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 17 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0100 – HK$0.0400

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +98.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3150 HK$0.0700 Fair Value HK$0.0300 May 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0700 – HK$0.3150 · fair‑value band HK$0.0100 – HK$0.0400 · the HK$0.3150 price screens above the HK$0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd (0391) currently trades at HK$0.3150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 950.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0500 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.3150 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$75.7M at a net margin of −48.9%. Revenue declined 42.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −14.3%. Net debt stands at HK$177M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0100 (bear case) to HK$0.0400 (bull case); at HK$0.3150, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −90%, 0391 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 80
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 78
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 77
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0700 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 77
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0500) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 7.82 TTM
Dividend yield 0.8%
Net margin −51.4% FY2025
Return on equity −14.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −7.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −1.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$75.7M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −42.6% 3y avg +12.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$26.9M FY2025
Net debt HK$177M FY2025 · ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Mei Ah Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in channel operation business primarily in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Taiwan.

Full company description

Mei Ah Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in channel operation business primarily in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Taiwan. It operates through Channel Operations; Film Exhibition and Film Rights Licensing and Sublicensing; Cinema Operations; Concert Performance and Events Organization; Subcontracting Service for the Manufacturing and Sale of Consumer Products; and Property Investment segments. The company is also involved in artist management; applications and video online; and sale and distribution of films and programs in audio visual product format. In addition, it produces films and tele-features; and provides corporate management services. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$110M in FY2025 versus HK$95.6M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$56.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$110M
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.4% (2020) → −46.6% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 HK$95.6M
FY22 HK$78.2M
FY23 HK$75.6M
FY24 HK$118M
FY25 HK$110M
Net income
FY21 −HK$58.2M
FY22 −HK$39.2M
FY23 −HK$48.9M
FY24 −HK$21.4M
FY25 −HK$56.7M

0391 screens 950% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0391.HK

Peer Group

Entertainment · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −49% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Revenue growth −43% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 5
FUTURE0 · sector 15
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH81 · sector 98
DIVIDEND17 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $81.72 $49.35 −40%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.50 $80.62 −22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 −67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $182.02 $59.97 −67%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.73 €14.78 +0%
TKO Group TKO $189.42 $47.75 −75%
Formula One Group FWONK $102.02 $35.21 −65%
Fox Corporation FOXA $68.42 $206.81 +202%
News Corporation NWS A$46.55 A$20.41 −56%
Warner Music Group WMG $24.79 $12.10 −51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd (0391) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0300 versus a price of HK$0.3150, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0391?
Our model-based fair value for Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd is HK$0.0300 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3150.
What is the quality score of 0391?
Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd (0391)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0300 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0100, optimistic scenario HK$0.0400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0300, about −90% upside versus a price of HK$0.3150 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0100, optimistic scenario HK$0.0400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd (0391)?
Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$75.7M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0391?
The net profit margin of Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd is about −48.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Mei Ah Entertainment Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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