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Oscotec Inc (039200) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · KR · Market cap 1.2T KRW

OI Oscotec Inc 039200 · KQ
Price34,950 KRW
Fair Value25,062 KRW
Upside-28.3%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 15,996 KRW – 45,334 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 20,830 KRW to 25,062 KRW (+20.3%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +10.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (15,996 KRW to 45,334 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

62,000 KRW 16,150 KRW Fair Value 25,062 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16,150 KRW – 62,000 KRW · fair‑value band 15,996 KRW – 45,334 KRW · the 34,950 KRW price screens above the 25,062 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Oscotec Inc (039200) currently trades at 34,950 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25,062 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 28.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.8B KRW. Revenue grew 30.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.9%. Net debt stands at 293M KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15,996 KRW (bear case) to 45,334 KRW (bull case); at 34,950 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -28%, 039200 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3,707 KRW 7,295 KRW 13,322 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6,469 KRW 12,118 KRW 23,875 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 17,322 KRW 28,298 KRW 39,867 KRW 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3,909 KRW 6,059 KRW 13,092 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 23,542 KRW 54,628 KRW 122,806 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 5,852 KRW 10,656 KRW 20,780 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12,708 KRW 24,526 KRW 47,791 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 18,757 KRW 46,490 KRW 85,163 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 5,179 KRW 12,850 KRW 18,341 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 10,557 KRW 27,963 KRW 59,903 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 15,072 KRW 41,295 KRW 86,486 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 9,304 KRW 64,886 KRW 91,058 KRW 54
Lynch FV 33,522 KRW 47,889 KRW 62,256 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 33,522 KRW 47,889 KRW 62,256 KRW 46
EPV 12,650 KRW 14,812 KRW 16,734 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 22,576 KRW 30,102 KRW 37,627 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 6,851 KRW 9,134 KRW 11,418 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 15,996 KRW 21,327 KRW 26,659 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 17,755 KRW 23,541 KRW 29,327 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 15,144 KRW 20,060 KRW 24,976 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 5,878 KRW 8,227 KRW 10,575 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,370 KRW 3,175 KRW 4,739 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3,707 KRW 7,295 KRW 13,322 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6,469 KRW 12,118 KRW 23,875 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10,312 KRW 14,239 KRW 116,336 KRW 61
ROIC Compounder 17,322 KRW 28,298 KRW 39,867 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 44,499 KRW 63,569 KRW 82,640 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (63,569 KRW) versus Asset-Based (3,175 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.8B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.5%
Return on equity 35.9%
Free cash flow 7.5B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -565%
Net debt 293M KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oscotec Inc. operates as a clinical stage drug discovery and development company. It develops SYK inhibitor that is in Phase IIa clinical trial to treat rheumatoid arthritis and immune thrombocytopenia; FLT3 inhibitor, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; and EGFR double mutation inhibitor to treat non-small cell …

Full company description

Oscotec Inc. operates as a clinical stage drug discovery and development company. It develops SYK inhibitor that is in Phase IIa clinical trial to treat rheumatoid arthritis and immune thrombocytopenia; FLT3 inhibitor, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; and EGFR double mutation inhibitor to treat non-small cell lung cancer, as well as Anti-Tau antibody, which is in preclinical Phase for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. The company also offers dental health products, such as bone graft comprising InduCera, BioCera-F, and SynCeraII; and membrane consisting of LysoGide and CollaGuide. In addition, it provides functional ingredients comprises OPB for osteoporosis; AIF for arthritis; SGA that enhance bone growth; and PRF-K for perio diseases. The company was formerly known as Oscotec Co., Ltd and changed its name to Oscotec Inc. in June 1999. Oscotec Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in Seongnam, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oscotec Inc reported revenue of 99.8B KRW in FY2025 versus 3.9B KRW in FY2021, a compound +124.9%/yr. Reported net income was 52.3B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
99.8B KRW
Latest YoY
+193.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+170.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+10.1%
Revenue +124.9%/yr
FY21 3.9B KRW
FY22 5.1B KRW
FY23 5.0B KRW
FY24 34.0B KRW
FY25 99.8B KRW
Net income
FY21 −26.3B KRW
FY22 −24.4B KRW
FY23 −24.3B KRW
FY24 877M KRW
FY25 52.3B KRW

039200 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oscotec Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/039200

Peer Group

Pharmaceuticals · 25 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on assets -29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceuticals median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceuticals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Limited 500660 ₹2,653 ₹1,471 -45%
Caregen Co 214370 62,700 KRW 7,277 KRW -88%
ST Pharm Co 237690 123,600 KRW 50,110 KRW -59%
DongKook Pharmaceutical Co 086450 18,350 KRW 32,142 KRW +75%
Kolon Life Science Inc 102940 30,100 KRW 37,195 KRW +24%
Huons Global Co 084110 23,800 KRW 58,482 KRW +146%
BINEX Co 053030 6,350 KRW 1,844 KRW -71%
Anterogen.Co.,Ltd., a bio-venture company, 065660 16,810 KRW 4,741 KRW -72%
EURO EURO 1.09 PHP 0.8700 PHP -20%
Kyung Dong Pharmaceutical Co 011040 4,935 KRW 6,165 KRW +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oscotec Inc (039200) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25,062 KRW versus a price of 34,950 KRW, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 039200?
Our model-based fair value for Oscotec Inc is 25,062 KRW (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 34,950 KRW.
What is the quality score of 039200?
Oscotec Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oscotec Inc (039200)?
Oscotec Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.8B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 039200?
The net profit margin of Oscotec Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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