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Wanjia Group (0401) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$142M

WG Wanjia Group 0401 · HK
PriceHK$0.1300
Fair ValueHK$0.0600
Upside-53.9%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 4/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +9.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.7390 HK$0.0380 Fair Value HK$0.0600 Mar 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0380 – HK$0.7390 · fair‑value band HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0700 · the HK$0.1300 price screens above the HK$0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Wanjia Group (0401) currently trades at HK$0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wanjia Group generated revenue of HK$164M at a net margin of -5.2%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$12.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0500 (bear case) to HK$0.0700 (bull case); at HK$0.1300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -54%, 0401 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 74
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0800 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.1000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$164M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.4%
Net margin -5.2%
Return on equity -11.9%
Free cash flow HK$9.9M FY2025
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
Net cash HK$12.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wanjia Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the wholesale and distribution pharmaceutical business in the Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company offers hemodialysis treatment and consultancy services.

Full company description

Wanjia Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the wholesale and distribution pharmaceutical business in the Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company offers hemodialysis treatment and consultancy services. It sells its products to hospitals and healthcare institutions; and companies operating pharmaceutical retail chain stores, independent pharmacies, outpatient departments of community hospitals, healthcare service stations, and clinics. Wanjia Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wanjia Group reported revenue of HK$162M in FY2025 versus HK$114M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$162M
Latest YoY
−10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.1%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 HK$114M
FY22 HK$155M
FY23 HK$174M
FY24 HK$181M
FY25 HK$162M
Net income
FY21 −HK$4.5M
FY22 −HK$51.0M
FY23 HK$1.8M
FY24 −HK$40.0M
FY25 −HK$6.6M

0401 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wanjia Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0401

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 12 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 22
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $878.73 $819.31 -7%
Cencora, Inc COR $314.17 $211.07 -33%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.16 $141.77 -39%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $90.74 $71.70 -21%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.56 ¥33.96 +105%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 -24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.49 ¥28.65 +33%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 80.00 kr 28.26 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wanjia Group (0401) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0600 versus a price of HK$0.1300, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0401?
Our model-based fair value for Wanjia Group is HK$0.0600 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1300.
What is the quality score of 0401?
Wanjia Group has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wanjia Group (0401)?
Wanjia Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$164M (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0401?
The net profit margin of Wanjia Group is about -5.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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