Suprema HQ Inc (094840) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Suprema HQ Inc KRW 10,006, price KRW 12,600, upside -20.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5,017 KRW – 15,300 KRW · fair‑value band 8,773 KRW – 11,811 KRW · the 12,600 KRW price screens above the 10,006 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Suprema HQ Inc. manufactures and sells of access control, time and attendance, and biometrics solutions worldwide.
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Suprema HQ Inc. manufactures and sells of access control, time and attendance, and biometrics solutions worldwide. The company offers BioStar 2 access control, a security platform; BioStar 2 TA is a time and attendance module that serves as an add-on for the BioStar 2 platform; Suprema Mobile Access that allows user's smartphone as a key to access doors, facilities, and other accesses; and Suprema CLUe, an open cloud integration platform. It provides biometric and RF/mobile readers and intelligent controllers; and peripherals, including thermal cameras, input and output modules, secure and door modules, as well as OEM fingerprint modules. In addition, the company offers NOVUS, an open platform, designed for use in any time and attendance or workforce management application. It serves the construction, data center, healthcare, commercial, infrastructure, and manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Suprema Inc. and changed its name to Suprema HQ Inc. in February 2016. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Suprema HQ Inc (094840) currently trades at 12,600 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,006 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 28,647 KRW per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the 12,600 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7,836 KRW, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 8,773 KRW (bear) to 11,811 KRW (bull), the price of 12,600 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Suprema HQ Inc reported revenue of 21.2B KRW in FY2025 versus 30.9B KRW in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 13.4B KRW in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 124B KRW (≈ $90.8M) · P/S ratio 5.65 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 63.1% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 13.5% · Revenue (TTM) 22.7B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −21%, 094840 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8,773 KRWFair Value 10,006 KRWBull 11,811 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.6% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 14%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks
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Is Suprema HQ Inc (094840) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10,006 KRW versus a price of 12,600 KRW, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 094840?
Our model-based fair value for Suprema HQ Inc is 10,006 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12,600 KRW.
What is the quality score of 094840?
Suprema HQ Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10,006 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8,773 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,811 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Suprema HQ Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10,006 KRW, about −21% upside versus a price of 12,600 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8,773 KRW, optimistic scenario 11,811 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Suprema HQ Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.7B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Suprema HQ Inc pay a dividend?
Suprema HQ Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Suprema HQ Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 094840 use?
Our models discount Suprema HQ Inc at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Suprema HQ Inc that is +12.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Suprema HQ Inc (094840) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Suprema HQ Inc grew -4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +12.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Suprema HQ Inc (094840) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Suprema HQ Inc (+12.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.90 %: that much free cash flow Suprema HQ Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Suprema HQ Inc it is 10,006 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12,600 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Suprema HQ Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 094840 trades above its calculated fair value: price 12,600 KRW, fair value 10,006 KRW, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 094840?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12,600 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10,006 KRW). For Suprema HQ Inc the two are 2,594 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Suprema HQ Inc worth?
The market values Suprema HQ Inc at about 124B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12,600 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 10,006 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 094840?
Our models span a range for Suprema HQ Inc: cautious scenario 8,773 KRW, base 10,006 KRW, optimistic 11,811 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12,600 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Balance-sheet figures for Suprema HQ Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 094840 from its 52-week high?
Suprema HQ Inc trades at 12,600 KRW, about 18% below its 52-week high of 15,300 KRW and 114% above the low of 5,879 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10,006 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Suprema HQ Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Suprema HQ Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12,600 KRW, calculated fair value 10,006 KRW (−21%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 094840 calculated?
We run Suprema HQ Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10,006 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Suprema HQ Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 12,600 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 10,006 KRW, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Suprema HQ Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11,811 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Suprema HQ Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The market capitalisation of Suprema HQ Inc is 124B KRW (≈ $90.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Suprema HQ Inc is 5.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The dividend yield of Suprema HQ Inc is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The net margin of Suprema HQ Inc is 63.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Suprema HQ Inc is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Suprema HQ Inc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
The operating margin of Suprema HQ Inc is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Revenue at Suprema HQ Inc is growing +24.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Suprema HQ Inc (094840)?
Earnings per share at Suprema HQ Inc are growing −51.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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