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China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd HK$40.28, price HK$19.84, upside +103.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · HK · ISIN HK0000055878

CT China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd logo Broad data Sep 27, 2026

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd

0966 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$40.28 · Strongly undervalued (+103.0%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓6.2% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (14/15)
✓Wide moat 82/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$25.66 HK$4.96 Fair Value HK$40.28 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.96 – HK$25.66 · fair‑value band HK$27.86 – HK$54.46 · the HK$19.84 price screens below the HK$40.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, underwrites various insurance and reinsurance products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Life Insurance Business, Property and Casualty Insurance Business, and Reinsurance Business.

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China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, underwrites various insurance and reinsurance products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Life Insurance Business, Property and Casualty Insurance Business, and Reinsurance Business. The Life Insurance Business segment provides life insurance products, such as corporate and personal retirement insurance, group life insurance, individual insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance products and annuities. Its Property and Casualty Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance products, including compulsory motor insurance, liability insurance, credit insurance, guarantee insurance, and short-term accident and health insurance, as well as the related reinsurance products. The Reinsurance segment provides property damage, life, marine cargo and hull, and miscellaneous non-marine reinsurance products. It also engages in the asset management, insurance intermediary, financial leasing, property investment, and securities dealing and broking, as well as in elderly care investment businesses; manages investment funds; and provides back-to-back financing arrangement, as well as insurance broking and agency services. The company was formerly known as China Insurance International Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited in August 2009. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong. China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of China Taiping Insurance Group (HK) Co. Ltd.

Stock analysis

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) currently trades at HK$19.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$40.28, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$66.37 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the HK$19.84 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$17.74, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: HK$27.86 (bear) to HK$54.46 (bull), the price of HK$19.84 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$179B in FY2025 versus HK$319B in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$27.1B in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$71.3B (≈ $9.1B) · P/E ratio 2.3 · P/S ratio 0.34 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 15.1% · Return on equity 29.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin 29.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 103%, 0966 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$27.86 Fair Value HK$40.28 Bull HK$54.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$45.58 HK$66.37 HK$143.19 68
P/E Multiple HK$73.41 HK$97.88 HK$122.35 63
P/B Multiple HK$27.80 HK$37.07 HK$46.33 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$73.41 HK$97.88 HK$122.35 63
P/B Multiple HK$27.80 HK$37.07 HK$46.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$13.24 HK$17.74 HK$26.48 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$45.58 HK$66.37 HK$143.19 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+47.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+31.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.29.2% vs 17.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 19%
2025 sits 404% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 89 stocks

Beats the industry median on 14/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +103.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 29.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 30.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.75× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.79× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 46
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.43 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥53.25 ¥67.19 +26%
AIA Group 1299 HK$73.75 HK$41.69 −43%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC $43.86 $27.55 −37%
MetLife, Inc MET $97.70 $54.39 −44%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$93.34 C$42.07 −55%
Aflac Incorporated AFL $113.72 $67.02 −41%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹409.05 ₹299.19 −27%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 110.50 TWD 71.47 TWD −35%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.88 ¥48.28 +56%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0966

Frequently asked questions

Is China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$40.28 versus a price of HK$19.84, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0966?
Our model-based fair value for China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is HK$40.28 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$19.84.
What is the quality score of 0966?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$40.28 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$27.86, optimistic scenario HK$54.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$40.28, about +103% upside versus a price of HK$19.84 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$27.86, optimistic scenario HK$54.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$146B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$40.28 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$19.84. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0966 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$19.84, fair value HK$40.28, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0966?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$19.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$40.28). For China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$20.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$71.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$19.84; our models calculate a fair value of HK$40.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0966?
Our models span a range for China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$27.86, base HK$40.28, optimistic HK$54.46 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$19.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0966?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$40.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 0.8, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 1.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 0966?
The PEG ratio of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 0.79 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 29.0%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0966 from its 52-week high?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$19.84, about 23% below its 52-week high of HK$25.66 and 34% above the low of HK$14.80 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$40.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Life Insurance Company, Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$19.84, calculated fair value HK$40.28 (+103%), Quality Score 67/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0966 calculated?
We run China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$40.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$19.84. Our model-based fair value is HK$40.28, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$27.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$27.86 to HK$54.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) come from?
Earnings per share at China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd grew +10.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.4 %, EBIT margin +23.9 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The market capitalisation of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is HK$71.3B (≈ $9.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The dividend yield of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 6.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The net margin of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 29.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
The operating margin of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is 29.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
Revenue at China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966)?
Earnings per share at China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd are growing +70.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) generate?
The free cash flow of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is HK$151B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd (0966) carry?
The net debt of China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd is HK$140B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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