Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd (0968) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd HK$4.06, price HK$1.89, upside +114.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd
0968 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.89 – HK$16.91 · fair‑value band HK$2.84 – HK$5.28 · the HK$1.89 price screens below the HK$4.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells solar glass products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Sales of Solar Glass and Renewable Energy Business.
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Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells solar glass products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Sales of Solar Glass and Renewable Energy Business. It offers ultra-clear patterned solar glasses, back glasses, and anti-reflective coating solar glasses. The company also develops, operates, and manages solar farms; and generates solar power. In addition, it offers engineering, procurement, and construction services; solar power systems; and silicon products. Further, the company engages in mining activities and the sale of mining products. Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Wuhu, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd (0968) currently trades at HK$1.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.06, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$7.91 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$1.89 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$1.29, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$2.84 (bear) to HK$5.28 (bull), the price of HK$1.89 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 23.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 940M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$19.2B (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 19.1 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 115%, 0968 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 108 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $177.71 | $392.06 | +121% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $80.85 | $88.94 | +10% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,495 | ₹2,709 | +9% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥11.12 | ¥12.13 | +9% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥3.75 | ¥6.49 | +73% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥20.04 | ¥31.86 | +59% |
| Hanwha Solutions Corporation 009830 | 29,200 KRW | 9,611 KRW | −67% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥8.32 | ¥4.88 | −41% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $30.91 | $24.08 | −22% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹896.40 | ₹648.72 | −28% |
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Key figures of Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd
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