Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Weyerhaeuser Co. $6.87, price $18.57, upside -63.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.54 – $36.68 · fair‑value band $4.81 – $8.93 · the $18.57 price screens above the $6.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada.
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Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated 6.9 billion US dollars in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Operated as a real estate investment trust, Weyerhaeuser's common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WY. Weyerhaeuser Company was incorporated in 1900 in Washington and is based in Seattle, United States.
Stock analysis
Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) currently trades at $18.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.87, 63.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $9.18 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the $18.57 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.64, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.81 (bear) to $8.93 (bull), the price of $18.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Weyerhaeuser Co. reported revenue of $6.9B in FY2025 versus $10.2B in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $324M in FY2025, compounding −40.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $13.4B · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) $3.59 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5% · Operating margin 9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −63%, 0LWG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.2700 to $9.88). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $4.81Fair Value $6.87Bull $8.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.08 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.7% vs −4.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+62.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +59.2% a year for the price and +3.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Building Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5328 stocks
Beats the sector median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−63.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)0.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)90· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weyerhaeuser Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LWG
Frequently asked questions
Is Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.87 versus a price of $18.57, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0LWG?
Our model-based fair value for Weyerhaeuser Co. is $6.87 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.57.
What is the quality score of 0LWG?
Weyerhaeuser Co. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.87 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.81, optimistic scenario $8.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Weyerhaeuser Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.87, about −63% upside versus a price of $18.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.81, optimistic scenario $8.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Weyerhaeuser Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Weyerhaeuser Co. pay a dividend?
Weyerhaeuser Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.52% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Weyerhaeuser Co. would have to grow free cash flow by +62.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.7 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0LWG use?
Our models discount Weyerhaeuser Co. at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Weyerhaeuser Co. that is +62.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Weyerhaeuser Co. grew -1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +62.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Weyerhaeuser Co. (+62.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.49 %: that much free cash flow Weyerhaeuser Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Weyerhaeuser Co. it is $6.87 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $18.57. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Weyerhaeuser Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 0LWG trades above its calculated fair value: price $18.57, fair value $6.87, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LWG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.87). For Weyerhaeuser Co. the two are $11.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Weyerhaeuser Co. worth?
The market values Weyerhaeuser Co. at about $13.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $18.57; our models calculate a fair value of $6.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LWG?
Our models span a range for Weyerhaeuser Co.: cautious scenario $4.81, base $6.87, optimistic $8.93 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $18.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0LWG?
Weyerhaeuser Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.87 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Weyerhaeuser Co. (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0LWG from its 52-week high?
Weyerhaeuser Co. trades at $18.57, about 31% below its 52-week high of $26.79 and at the low of $18.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Weyerhaeuser Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value AKTR, DHABRIYA, NATFIT, SRIKPRIND, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Weyerhaeuser Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $18.57, calculated fair value $6.87 (−63%), Quality Score 48/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LWG calculated?
We run Weyerhaeuser Co. through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Weyerhaeuser Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $18.57. Our model-based fair value is $6.87, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Weyerhaeuser Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($4.81 to $8.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) come from?
Earnings per share at Weyerhaeuser Co. grew −1.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.7 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +8.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Weyerhaeuser Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The market capitalisation of Weyerhaeuser Co. is $13.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Earnings per share at Weyerhaeuser Co. are $3.59 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The dividend yield of Weyerhaeuser Co. is 4.5% (payout 23.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The net margin of Weyerhaeuser Co. is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Weyerhaeuser Co. is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Weyerhaeuser Co. is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
The operating margin of Weyerhaeuser Co. is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Revenue at Weyerhaeuser Co. is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG)?
Earnings per share at Weyerhaeuser Co. are growing +96.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Weyerhaeuser Co. (0LWG) carry?
The net debt of Weyerhaeuser Co. is $5.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 58.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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