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Orrön Energy AB (0NNR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Orrön Energy AB SEK 4.04, price SEK 7.30, upside -44.7%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Utilities · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0000825820

OE Broad data Oct 3, 2026

Orrön Energy AB

0NNR · LSE

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 4.04 · Strongly overvalued (−44.7%)
✓Quality 68/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +27.6 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -67.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2021 9.3%
!Negative equity (buybacks among others)
!Narrow moat 31/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 486.95 kr 3.94 Fair Value kr 4.04 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.94 – kr 486.95 · fair‑value band kr 2.18 – kr 5.86 · the kr 7.30 price screens above the kr 4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Orrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company in Germany and Swede. The company owns and operates a portfolio of wind power assets in Sweden, Finland, and rest of Nordics. It also develops solar and battery projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France.

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Orrön Energy AB (publ) operates as an independent renewable energy company in Germany and Swede. The company owns and operates a portfolio of wind power assets in Sweden, Finland, and rest of Nordics. It also develops solar and battery projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France. The company was formerly known as Lundin Energy AB (publ) and changed its name to Orrön Energy AB (publ) in July 2022. Orrön Energy AB (publ) was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Orrön Energy AB (0NNR) currently trades at kr 7.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.04, 44.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of kr 3.05 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 7.30 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 0.7000, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: kr 2.18 (bear) to kr 5.86 (bull), the price of kr 7.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Orrön Energy AB reported revenue of 5.5B SEK in FY2021 versus 2.0B SEK in FY2017, a compound +28.7%/yr. Reported net income was 510M SEK in FY2021, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 104B SEK (≈ $10.4B) · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 30.4% · Operating margin 19.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) +54.7% · EPS growth (YoY) +10.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −45%, 0NNR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.3200 to kr 4.49). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 2.18 Fair Value kr 4.04 Bull kr 5.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV kr 2.06 kr 2.45 kr 2.79 74
FCF DCF kr 1.74 kr 2.88 kr 6.53 69
Growth DCF kr 1.62 kr 3.47 kr 6.50 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 1.74 kr 2.88 kr 6.53 69
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.8300 kr 1.48 kr 2.84 64
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.82 kr 3.49 kr 6.76 66
5Y P/E Exit kr 0.6500 kr 1.42 kr 2.41 63
10Y Revenue Exit kr 1.08 kr 2.35 kr 3.06 61
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.84 kr 4.49 kr 9.14 58
10Y P/E Exit kr 0.9800 kr 1.97 kr 3.44 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.2400 kr 1.69 kr 2.37 59
Lynch FV kr 0.8700 kr 1.25 kr 1.62 57
PEG = 1.0 kr 0.8700 kr 1.25 kr 1.62 53
EPV kr 2.06 kr 2.45 kr 2.79 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 0.1800 kr 0.3800 kr 0.6100 61
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.1800 kr 0.3200 kr 0.4000 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 0.4800 kr 0.6400 kr 0.8000 63
P/S Multiple kr 0.4500 kr 0.6100 kr 0.7600 58
EV/EBIT kr 2.79 kr 3.80 kr 4.82 66
EV/EBITDA kr 1.77 kr 2.45 kr 3.13 67
EV/Revenue kr 0.4100 kr 0.7000 kr 0.9900 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 1.62 kr 3.47 kr 6.50 68
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.9300 kr 1.74 kr 3.42 63
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 2.29 kr 3.05 kr 3.93 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 1.09 kr 1.56 kr 2.03 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+113.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
40.7% (2017) → 70.6% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NNR screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.45 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%
GD Power Development Co 600795 ¥5.34 ¥5.99 +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orrön Energy AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NNR

Frequently asked questions

Is Orrön Energy AB (0NNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.04 versus a price of kr 7.30, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NNR?
Our model-based fair value for Orrön Energy AB is kr 4.04 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 7.30.
What is the quality score of 0NNR?
Orrön Energy AB has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 4.04 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.18, optimistic scenario kr 5.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orrön Energy AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 4.04, about −45% upside versus a price of kr 7.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.18, optimistic scenario kr 5.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orrön Energy AB it is kr 4.04 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 7.30. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orrön Energy AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0NNR trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 7.30, fair value kr 4.04, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NNR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 7.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 4.04). For Orrön Energy AB the two are kr 3.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orrön Energy AB worth?
The market values Orrön Energy AB at about 104B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 7.30; our models calculate a fair value of kr 4.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NNR?
Our models span a range for Orrön Energy AB: cautious scenario kr 2.18, base kr 4.04, optimistic kr 5.86 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 7.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0NNR from its 52-week high?
Orrön Energy AB trades at kr 7.30, about 29% below its 52-week high of kr 10.34 and 83% above the low of kr 4.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 4.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orrön Energy AB?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orrön Energy AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 7.30, calculated fair value kr 4.04 (−45%), Quality Score 68/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NNR calculated?
We run Orrön Energy AB through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 4.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orrön Energy AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 7.30. Our model-based fair value is kr 4.04, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orrön Energy AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 5.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (kr 2.18 to kr 5.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Orrön Energy AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
The market capitalisation of Orrön Energy AB is 104B SEK (≈ $10.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
The net margin of Orrön Energy AB is 9.3% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orrön Energy AB is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orrön Energy AB is 30.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
The operating margin of Orrön Energy AB is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
Revenue at Orrön Energy AB is growing +54.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orrön Energy AB (0NNR)?
Earnings per share at Orrön Energy AB are growing +10.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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