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EDP Renewables, S.A (EDPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · PT · Market cap €14.1B

ER EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR · LS
Price€13.50
Fair Value€3.67
Upside-72.8%
Quality51/100
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
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Evidence: Medium Range €2.60 – €4.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €5.04 to €3.67 (−27.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€14.55 €9.39 Fair Value €3.67 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €9.39 – €14.55 · fair‑value band €2.60 – €4.58 · the €13.50 price screens above the €3.67 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

EDP Renewables, S.A (EDPR) currently trades at €13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.67, implying the stock looks roughly 72.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, EDP Renewables, S.A generated revenue of €2.2B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at €8.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.60 (bear case) to €4.58 (bull case); at €13.50, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -73%, EDPR screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.0%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow −€1.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 63.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.2100
EPS growth (YoY) -71.1%
Net debt €8.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100
Profitability 20
Quality Growth 56
Cashflow 49
Fin. Strength 25
Investment 54
Low Volatility 72
Momentum 62
52W Momentum 78
Net Issuance 61

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power.

Full company description

EDP Renewables, S.A. engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is involved in the planning, construction, operation, and maintenance of power generation plants using renewable energy sources, including wind and solar power. It operates in Spain, Portugal, Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Greece, the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, South Korea, Singapore, Vietnam, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Australia, and Japan. EDP Renewables, S.A. was formerly known as EDP Renováveis, S.A. and changed its name to EDP Renewables, S.A. in April 2026. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. EDP Renewables, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of EDP, S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EDP Renewables, S.A reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €216M in FY2025, compounding −24.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY21 €1.8B
FY22 €2.4B
FY23 €2.2B
FY24 €2.3B
FY25 €2.7B
Net income −24.3%/yr
FY21 €655M
FY22 €616M
FY23 €309M
FY24 −€556M
FY25 €216M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EDP Renewables, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDPR

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 10
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 11 / 11
HEALTH 65 / 67
DIVIDEND 0 / 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.61 ¥17.14 -38%
Ørsted A/S D2G €20.80 €9.92 -52%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.58 ¥4.64 -52%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,526 ₹139.34 -91%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.77 -9%
VERBUND AG VER €56.00 €115.52 +106%
BEP BEP $35.44 $27.28 -23%
BEPUN BEPUN C$50.26 C$27.28 -46%
Fortum Oyj FOJCF $22.79 $15.89 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.56 ¥12.93 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EDP Renewables, S.A (EDPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.67 versus a price of €13.50, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EDPR?
Our model-based fair value for EDP Renewables, S.A is €3.67 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €13.50.
What is the quality score of EDPR?
EDP Renewables, S.A has a Quality Score of 51/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of EDP Renewables, S.A (EDPR)?
EDP Renewables, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EDPR?
The net profit margin of EDP Renewables, S.A is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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