Ørsted A/S (ORSTED) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · DK · Market cap 198B DKK
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 33.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 99.54 – kr 561.37 · fair‑value band kr 20.02 – kr 33.36 · the kr 141.90 price screens above the kr 26.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Ørsted A/S (ORSTED) currently trades at kr 141.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 26.69, implying the stock looks roughly 81.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ørsted A/S generated revenue of 80.2B DKK at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 33.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at 78.8B DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 20.02 (bear case) to kr 33.36 (bull case); at kr 141.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -81%, ORSTED screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 60.72) versus Dividend Discount (kr 7.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ørsted A/S, together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, constructs, and operates offshore and onshore wind farms, solar farms, and energy storage and combined heat and power (CHP) plants. It operates through Offshore, Onshore, and Bioenergy & Other segments.
Full company description
Ørsted A/S, together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, constructs, and operates offshore and onshore wind farms, solar farms, and energy storage and combined heat and power (CHP) plants. It operates through Offshore, Onshore, and Bioenergy & Other segments. The Offshore segment owns, develops, constructs, and operates offshore wind farms in Europe, the United States, and the Asia-Pacific region. The Onshore segment owns, develops, constructs, and operates onshore wind and solar farms in the United States, including integrated storage. The Bioenergy & Other segment generates heat and power and offers ancillary services from CHP plants in Denmark; and optimizes its gas portfolio, as well as manages its Danish and Swedish B2B business. The company was formerly known as DONG Energy A/S and changed its name to Ørsted A/S in November 2017. Ørsted A/S was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Fredericia, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ørsted A/S reported revenue of kr 63.6B in FY2025 versus kr 69.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 2.4B in FY2025, compounding −31.3%/yr from FY2021.
ORSTED screens 81% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Good Energy signs its largest ever deal with Ørsted to support next phase of growth
- Ørsted Advances Flagship Offshore Wind Projects With Earnings And Risk In Focus
- Ørsted and PGE kick off offshore installation of Baltica 2 project
- Cadeler Installs First Complete Monopile Foundation at Ørsted’s Hornsea 3 Offshore Wind Farm
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.23 | ¥16.63 | +17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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