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Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aeroports de Paris SA €44.11, price €106, upside -58.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0010340141

AD Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Aeroports de Paris SA

0NP8 · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €44.11 · Strongly overvalued (−58.6%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −16.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt
·2.8% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€134.51 €87.12 Fair Value €44.11 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €87.12 – €134.51 · fair‑value band €31.90 – €55.63 · the €106.45 price screens above the €44.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Aeroports de Paris SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates and designs airports in France, Turkey, Kazakhstan, Jordan, Georgia, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Aviation; Retail and Services; Real Estate; International and Airport Developments; and Other Activities.

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Aeroports de Paris SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates and designs airports in France, Turkey, Kazakhstan, Jordan, Georgia, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Aviation; Retail and Services; Real Estate; International and Airport Developments; and Other Activities. The Aviation segment offers airport services, such as landing, parking, and passengers; check-in and boarding counters, baggage handling facilities, de-icing facilities, and the supplying of electricity to aircraft; and security and airport safety services, including security checkpoints and screening systems, aircraft rescue, and fire-fighting services. Its Retail and Services segment is involved in retail activities in terminals comprising retail shops, bars and restaurants, banks and currency exchange offices, and car rentals; commercial distribution; advertising; car parks; production and supply of heat, drinking water, and access to the chilled distribution networks; tourism; luxury passenger services; and construction of metro station. The Real Estate segment engages in property leasing services; construction, commercialization, and lease management of office buildings, logistic buildings, and freight terminals; and rental of serviced land. Its International and Airport Developments segment designs and operates airport activities. The Other Activities segment offers telecom and cybersecurity services. Aeroports de Paris SA was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Tremblay-en-France, France.

Stock analysis

Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8) currently trades at €106.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €44.11, 58.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €133.55 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the €106.45 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €21.64, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €31.90 (bear) to €55.63 (bull), the price of €106.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Aeroports de Paris SA reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2020 versus €2.9B in FY2016, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.2B in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €12.0B · P/S ratio 1.79 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −54.7% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin 21.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −59%, 0NP8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €31.90 Fair Value €44.11 Bull €55.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €76.46 €128.88 €225.96 74
Growth DCF €82.68 €133.55 €220.58 73
Gordon GGM €29.73 €32.54 €36.82 67
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €76.46 €128.88 €225.96 74
5Y Revenue Exit €7.81 €21.17 €40.26 64
10Y Revenue Exit €33.11 €45.50 €57.21 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €29.73 €32.54 €36.82 67
DDM Multi-Stage €29.73 €37.30 €47.91 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €16.15 €21.64 €32.31 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €82.68 €133.55 €220.58 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
23.6% (2016) → −64.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NP8 screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with BAJAJST →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Machinery · 20 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.8% · Below median
Return on assets 4.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.83× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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BIRLAPREC BIRLAPREC ₹56.22 ₹20.03 −64%
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NITINCAST NITINCAST ₹469.80 ₹323.47 −31%
DHINDIA DHINDIA ₹208.90 ₹247.77 +19%
UVDRHOR UVDRHOR ₹36.50 ₹15.93 −56%
BRADYM BRADYM ₹656.50 ₹331.28 −50%
EXPOGAS EXPOGAS ₹89.50 ₹37.65 −58%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aeroports de Paris SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NP8

Frequently asked questions

Is Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €44.11 versus a price of €106.45, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NP8?
Our model-based fair value for Aeroports de Paris SA is €44.11 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €106.45.
What is the quality score of 0NP8?
Aeroports de Paris SA has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €44.11 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €31.90, optimistic scenario €55.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aeroports de Paris SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €44.11, about −59% upside versus a price of €106.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €31.90, optimistic scenario €55.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Aeroports de Paris SA pay a dividend?
Aeroports de Paris SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.82% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aeroports de Paris SA it is €44.11 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €106.45. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aeroports de Paris SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0NP8 trades above its calculated fair value: price €106.45, fair value €44.11, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NP8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€106.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€44.11). For Aeroports de Paris SA the two are €62.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aeroports de Paris SA worth?
The market values Aeroports de Paris SA at about €12.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €106.45; our models calculate a fair value of €44.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NP8?
Our models span a range for Aeroports de Paris SA: cautious scenario €31.90, base €44.11, optimistic €55.63 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €106.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aeroports de Paris SA (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 2.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NP8 from its 52-week high?
Aeroports de Paris SA trades at €106.45, about 17% below its 52-week high of €128.48 and 9% above the low of €97.82 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €44.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aeroports de Paris SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aeroports de Paris SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €106.45, calculated fair value €44.11 (−59%), Quality Score 42/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NP8 calculated?
We run Aeroports de Paris SA through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €44.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aeroports de Paris SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €106.45. Our model-based fair value is €44.11, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aeroports de Paris SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€55.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aeroports de Paris SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The market capitalisation of Aeroports de Paris SA is €12.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aeroports de Paris SA is 1.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The dividend yield of Aeroports de Paris SA is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The net margin of Aeroports de Paris SA is −54.7% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aeroports de Paris SA is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aeroports de Paris SA is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
The operating margin of Aeroports de Paris SA is 21.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
Revenue at Aeroports de Paris SA is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aeroports de Paris SA (0NP8)?
Earnings per share at Aeroports de Paris SA are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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