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Emmi AG (0QM5) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Emmi AG £769, price £840, upside -8.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · GB · ISIN CH0012829898

EA Some data Sep 23, 2026

Emmi AG

0QM5 · LSE

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value £769.27 · Fairly valued (−8.4%)

✓Quality 67/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓2.1% dividend yield · Well covered

!Moderate moat 52/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear £543.08 to bull £1,114 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 67/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £678.50 – £1,141 · fair‑value band £543.08 – £1,114 · the £840.00 price screens above the £769.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Emmi AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells dairy products in Switzerland, North and South America, the rest of Europe, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Emmi AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells dairy products in Switzerland, North and South America, the rest of Europe, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dairy products comprising milk, cream, and butter; cheese, including raclette and fondue; fresh products consisting of yogurts, yogurt drinks, kefir products, and desserts; fresh cheese, which consists of mozzarella, protein-rich cottage cheese, goat's milk fresh cheese, and goat's cheese curds; powders and concentrates, including milk powder; and other products and services, such as ready-to-drink coffee and trading business. It sells its products under the Emmi Caffè Latte, Gerber, Emmi Energy Milk High Protein, Kaltbach, Emmi Jogurt Pur, Emmi High Protein Water, Aktifit, Luzerner, Emmi Benecol, Emmi Good Day, Le petit chevrier, Emmi Raclette, Tonis mozzarella, Pierrot Ice Cream, and beleaf brands. The company also exports its products. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Lucerne, Switzerland. Emmi AG is a subsidiary of ZMP Invest AG.

Stock analysis

Emmi AG (0QM5) currently trades at £840.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £769.27, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.2%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £802.53 per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the £840.00 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £135.45, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: £543.08 (bear) to £1,114 (bull), the price of £840.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Emmi AG reported revenue of £4.7B in FY2025 versus £3.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was £227M in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap £4.5B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.01 · EPS (TTM) £40.51 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 21.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −8%, 0QM5 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £543.08 Fair Value £769.27 Bull £1,114

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£17.40 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF £504.04 £716.67 £1,007 81

Growth DCF £517.31 £713.80 £970.26 79

Owner Earnings £472.79 £672.52 £944.93 77

All 25 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF £504.04 £716.67 £1,007 81

Owner Earnings £472.79 £672.52 £944.93 77

5Y Revenue Exit £515.61 £790.05 £1,128 72

5Y EBITDA Exit £671.07 £1,066 £1,508 75

5Y P/E Exit £547.64 £846.94 £1,144 71

10Y Revenue Exit £490.67 £730.89 £1,027 67

10Y EBITDA Exit £601.24 £913.23 £1,298 68

10Y P/E Exit £525.85 £768.45 £1,039 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd £288.66 £673.24 £865.54 65

PEG = 1.0 £114.70 £163.86 £213.01 57

EPV £475.46 £552.20 £618.40 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM £144.91 £240.01 £347.81 67

DDM Multi-Stage £144.91 £210.58 £280.33 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple £668.59 £891.45 £1,114 63

P/S Multiple £541.24 £721.65 £902.06 58

P/B Multiple £541.24 £721.65 £902.06 55

EV/EBIT £786.89 £1,053 £1,319 66

EV/EBITDA £884.60 £1,183 £1,481 67

EV/Revenue £558.61 £802.53 £1,046 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) £101.08 £135.45 £202.16 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF £517.31 £713.80 £970.26 79

Rev-Margin DCF £515.61 £795.40 £1,095 73

Economic Profit

Residual Income £250.20 £306.20 £446.92 75

ROIC Compounder £494.47 £599.62 £708.96 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E £504.94 £721.35 £937.75 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 61

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 56

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 50

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 69

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 81

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 97

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 47

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 64

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+9.1%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year

Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+5.2%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+3.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.1% vs 6.6%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+6.3%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+2.2%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.0%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.6%

Projected 2028 (sales)+2.5%

Projected 2029 (sales)+2.4%

Projected 2030 (sales)+2.4%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 630 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −6.1% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 21.0% · Top 25%

Return on assets 6.1% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 4.8% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 7.7% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 6.1% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.40× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 23.8× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nestlé S.A NESN	CHF 74.63	CHF 59.51	−20%
Danone S.A BN	€59.12	€50.65	−14%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288	¥33.93	¥37.32	+10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC	$23.45	$29.20	+25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND	₹1,363	₹724.74	−47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887	¥26.90	¥41.84	+56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999	¥24.55	¥9.98	−59%
General Mills, Inc GIS	$31.67	$34.59	+9%
Wilmar International Limited F34	3.68 SGD	5.14 SGD	+40%
Kerry Group KRZ	€85.55	€59.96	−30%

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Emmi AG · Fair Value
£769.27 −8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emmi AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QM5

Frequently asked questions

Is Emmi AG (0QM5) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £769.27 versus a price of £840.00, about −8% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of 0QM5?

Our model-based fair value for Emmi AG is £769.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £840.00.

What is the quality score of 0QM5?

Emmi AG has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of £769.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario £543.08, optimistic scenario £1,114. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Emmi AG stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at £769.27, about −8% upside versus a price of £840.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £543.08, optimistic scenario £1,114. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Emmi AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £4.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

Does Emmi AG pay a dividend?

Emmi AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).

What growth is priced into Emmi AG (0QM5)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Emmi AG would have to grow free cash flow by +6.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QM5 use?

Our models discount Emmi AG at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Emmi AG that is +6.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Emmi AG (0QM5) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Emmi AG grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies +6.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Emmi AG (0QM5) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Emmi AG (+6.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.43 %: that much free cash flow Emmi AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emmi AG it is £769.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £840.00. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Emmi AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, 0QM5 trades above its calculated fair value: price £840.00, fair value £769.27, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QM5?

No. The price is what the market pays today (£840.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£769.27). For Emmi AG the two are £70.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Emmi AG worth?

The market values Emmi AG at about £4.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £840.00; our models calculate a fair value of £769.27 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QM5?

Our models span a range for Emmi AG: cautious scenario £543.08, base £769.27, optimistic £1,114 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £840.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 0QM5?

Emmi AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £769.27 is built from several models across several years.

How solid is the balance sheet of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Balance-sheet figures for Emmi AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.0%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0QM5 from its 52-week high?

Emmi AG trades at £840.00, about 7% below its 52-week high of £899.99 and 21% above the low of £691.86 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £769.27 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Emmi AG?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Emmi AG stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £840.00, calculated fair value £769.27 (−8%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0QM5 calculated?

We run Emmi AG through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £769.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Emmi AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £840.00. Our model-based fair value is £769.27, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Emmi AG right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£543.08 to £1,114) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of Emmi AG (0QM5) come from?

Earnings per share at Emmi AG grew +7.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin +8.2 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Emmi AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The market capitalisation of Emmi AG is £4.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Emmi AG is 0.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Earnings per share at Emmi AG are £40.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The dividend yield of Emmi AG is 2.1% (payout 43.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The net margin of Emmi AG is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Emmi AG is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emmi AG is 15.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Emmi AG (0QM5)?

The operating margin of Emmi AG is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Revenue at Emmi AG is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Emmi AG (0QM5)?

Earnings per share at Emmi AG are growing +12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Emmi AG (0QM5) carry?

The net debt of Emmi AG is £931M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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