Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. £2,519, price £7,513, upside -66.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £7,513 – £13,648 · fair‑value band £1,792 – £3,247 · the £7,513 price screens above the £2,519 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of chocolate products worldwide. The company sells its products under the Lindt, Ghirardelli, Russell Stover, Whitman's, Caffarel, Hofbauer and Küfferle, and Pangburn's, Gold Bunny, and Lindor brands.
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Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of chocolate products worldwide. The company sells its products under the Lindt, Ghirardelli, Russell Stover, Whitman's, Caffarel, Hofbauer and Küfferle, and Pangburn's, Gold Bunny, and Lindor brands. It serves customers through a network of distributors, as well as through own stores. The company was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Kilchberg, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1) currently trades at £7,513, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2,519, 66.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £2,792 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the £7,513 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £824.29, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £1,792 (bear) to £3,247 (bull), the price of £7,513 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. reported revenue of £4.0B in FY2020 versus £3.9B in FY2016, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was £322M in FY2020, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap £25.1B · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) £2,019 · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 15.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% · Operating margin 11.0% · Revenue (TTM) £5.9B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −66%, 0QP1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £1,792Fair Value £2,519Bull £3,247
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.4% (2016) → 10.5% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Compare Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Food Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5305 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−66.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)24.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)0.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)64· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QP1
Frequently asked questions
Is Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2,519 versus a price of £7,513, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QP1?
Our model-based fair value for Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is £2,519 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £7,513.
What is the quality score of 0QP1?
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2,519 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1,792, optimistic scenario £3,247. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2,519, about −66% upside versus a price of £7,513 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £1,792, optimistic scenario £3,247. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £5.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. it is £2,519 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of £7,513. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 0QP1 trades above its calculated fair value: price £7,513, fair value £2,519, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QP1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£7,513); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2,519). For Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. the two are £4,993 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. worth?
The market values Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. at about £25.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is £7,513; our models calculate a fair value of £2,519 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QP1?
Our models span a range for Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert.: cautious scenario £1,792, base £2,519, optimistic £3,247 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price £7,513). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QP1?
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2,519 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 15.9%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QP1 from its 52-week high?
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. trades at £7,513, about 44% below its 52-week high of £13,311 and at the low of £7,513 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2,519 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Goodricke Group, B & A Limited, DILIGENT, POONADAL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price £7,513, calculated fair value £2,519 (−66%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QP1 calculated?
We run Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £2,519, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £7,513. Our model-based fair value is £2,519, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£3,247). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£1,792 to £3,247) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert.
How large is the market capitalisation of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
The market capitalisation of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is £25.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Earnings per share at Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. are £2,019 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
The net margin of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is 8.0% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
The operating margin of Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Revenue at Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. (0QP1)?
Earnings per share at Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part. Cert. are growing +4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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