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CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · MY · ISIN MYL1023OO000

CG Broad data Sep 18, 2026

CIMB Group Holdings Bhd

1023 · KLSE

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

Fair value 8.52 MYR · Undervalued (+12%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.2 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 36.9% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·5.26% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 68/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

8.72 MYR 3.16 MYR Fair Value 8.52 MYR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.16 MYR – 8.72 MYR · fair‑value band 5.89 MYR – 10.96 MYR · the 7.63 MYR price screens below the 8.52 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally.

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CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally. The Consumer Banking segment offers conventional and Islamic financial products and services, such as residential and non-residential property loans, secured personal loans, motor vehicle financing, credit cards, unsecured personal financing, wealth management, bancassurance, remittance and foreign exchange, deposits, and internet banking services to individual customers. Its Commercial Banking segment provides banking credit facilities, trade financing, cash management, online business banking platform, remittance, and foreign exchange, as well as general deposit products to small and medium-scale enterprises, and mid-sized corporations. The Wholesale Banking segment offers client coverage marketing and delivering solutions; financial advisory services on issuance of equity and equity-linked products, debt restructuring, initial public offerings, secondary offerings, and general corporate advisory; conventional and Islamic funding solutions covering trade, working capital line, capital expenditure, leveraging, merger and acquisition, leveraged, and project financing products; and funding solutions, including cash management, trade finance, foreign exchange, custody and corporate loans, derivatives, structured products, and debt capital. This segment also includes treasury activities and services comprising foreign exchange, money market, derivatives, and capital market trading instruments; transaction banking services, such as trade facilities and cash management solutions; and wealth management solutions, as well as investment, securities financing, and trust services. Its CIMB Digital Assets and Group Funding segment engages in digital businesses and ventures, as well as capital, balance sheet, and fixed income investments and management activities. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) currently trades at 7.63 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.52 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 9.11 MYR per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 7.63 MYR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.36 MYR, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 5.89 MYR (bear) to 10.96 MYR (bull), the price of 7.63 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

CIMB Group Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 36.4B MYR in FY2025 versus 23.5B MYR in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.9B MYR in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 82.4B MYR (≈ $20.2B) · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 2.29 · EPS (TTM) 0.7200 MYR · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 21.6% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 12%, 1023 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.89 MYR Fair Value 8.52 MYR Bull 10.96 MYR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2316 MYR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 5.93 MYR 6.74 MYR 10.78 MYR 75
Gordon GGM 4.27 MYR 8.88 MYR 14.09 MYR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 4.27 MYR 7.39 MYR 9.32 MYR 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.27 MYR 8.88 MYR 14.09 MYR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 4.27 MYR 7.39 MYR 9.32 MYR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.09 MYR 9.45 MYR 11.82 MYR 63
P/B Multiple 6.84 MYR 9.11 MYR 11.39 MYR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.25 MYR 4.36 MYR 6.51 MYR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.93 MYR 6.74 MYR 10.78 MYR 75

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 29%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−5.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−36.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.0%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1073 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.55× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 3.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.59× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group DBS19 20.20 THB 6.69 THB −67%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$51.35 HK$78.59 +53%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.74 €4.04 −40%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.34 $15.75 −33%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.32 €105.99 +4%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €82.92 €77.62 −6%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $11.15 $9.67 −13%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,359 ₹636.31 −53%
The PNC Financial Services Group PNC $231.49 $159.52 −31%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.28 SGD 19.80 SGD −37%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIMB Group Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1023

Frequently asked questions

Is CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.52 MYR versus a price of 7.63 MYR, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1023?
Our model-based fair value for CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 8.52 MYR (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.63 MYR.
What is the quality score of 1023?
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.52 MYR (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.89 MYR, optimistic scenario 10.96 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIMB Group Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.52 MYR, about +12% upside versus a price of 7.63 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5.89 MYR, optimistic scenario 10.96 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.2B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does CIMB Group Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CIMB Group Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +9.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.2 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1023 use?
Our models discount CIMB Group Holdings Bhd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CIMB Group Holdings Bhd that is +9.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd grew +17.2 % a year. The price currently implies +9.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (+9.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.24 %: that much free cash flow CIMB Group Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CIMB Group Holdings Bhd it is 8.52 MYR per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of 7.63 MYR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CIMB Group Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 1023 trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.63 MYR, fair value 8.52 MYR, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1023?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.63 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.52 MYR). For CIMB Group Holdings Bhd the two are 0.8900 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CIMB Group Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values CIMB Group Holdings Bhd at about 82.4B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is 7.63 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 8.52 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1023?
Our models span a range for CIMB Group Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 5.89 MYR, base 8.52 MYR, optimistic 10.96 MYR per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price 7.63 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1023?
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.52 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 0.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 1023?
The PEG ratio of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 1.59 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Balance-sheet figures for CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1023 from its 52-week high?
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd trades at 7.63 MYR, about 13% below its 52-week high of 8.72 MYR and 26% above the low of 6.07 MYR (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.52 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CIMB Group Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CIMB Group Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price 7.63 MYR, calculated fair value 8.52 MYR (+12%), Quality Score 54/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1023 calculated?
We run CIMB Group Holdings Bhd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.52 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CIMB Group Holdings Bhd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 7.63 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 8.52 MYR, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CIMB Group Holdings Bhd right now?
A fairly wide model range (5.89 MYR to 10.96 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) come from?
Earnings per share at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd grew +7.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin +4.7 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The market capitalisation of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 82.4B MYR (≈ $20.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 2.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Earnings per share at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd are 0.7200 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The dividend yield of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 5.3% (payout 55.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The net margin of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 21.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
The operating margin of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 49.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Revenue at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023)?
Earnings per share at CIMB Group Holdings Bhd are growing −3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CIMB Group Holdings Bhd (1023) carry?
The net debt of CIMB Group Holdings Bhd is 99.4B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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