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CIMB Group (1023) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · MY · Market cap 82.6B MYR

CG CIMB Group 1023 · KLSE
Price7.97 MYR
Fair Value9.45 MYR
Upside+18.6%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 36.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.28% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 7.09 MYR – 11.82 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 9.46 MYR to 9.45 MYR (−0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from 7.09 MYR (bear) to 11.82 MYR (bull), base 9.45 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8.72 MYR 3.16 MYR Fair Value 9.45 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.16 MYR – 8.72 MYR · fair‑value band 7.09 MYR – 11.82 MYR · the 7.97 MYR price screens below the 9.45 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CIMB Group (1023) currently trades at 7.97 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.45 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CIMB Group generated revenue of 21.2B MYR at a net margin of 36.9%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at 99.4B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.09 MYR (bear case) to 11.82 MYR (bull case); at 7.97 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 19%, 1023 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6.31 MYR 9.70 MYR 14.66 MYR 80
Residual Income 5.93 MYR 6.74 MYR 10.78 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5.73 MYR 9.40 MYR 13.73 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 6.23 MYR 10.13 MYR 16.25 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 8.87 MYR 14.36 MYR 22.98 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 5.73 MYR 9.41 MYR 14.15 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 8.19 MYR 14.11 MYR 21.14 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 8.43 MYR 14.57 MYR 21.15 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 5.66 MYR 9.10 MYR 13.82 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7.43 MYR 12.40 MYR 19.26 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 7.59 MYR 12.72 MYR 19.26 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.94 MYR 16.94 MYR 22.73 MYR 54
Lynch FV 3.90 MYR 5.57 MYR 7.24 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 3.90 MYR 5.57 MYR 7.24 MYR 46
EPV 6.82 MYR 7.99 MYR 9.02 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.27 MYR 8.88 MYR 14.09 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 4.27 MYR 7.39 MYR 9.32 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 10.91 MYR 14.54 MYR 18.18 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 6.32 MYR 8.43 MYR 10.53 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 9.27 MYR 12.36 MYR 15.45 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 13.07 MYR 17.49 MYR 21.91 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 10.30 MYR 13.80 MYR 17.30 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 5.70 MYR 8.23 MYR 10.75 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.25 MYR 4.36 MYR 6.51 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.31 MYR 9.70 MYR 14.66 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5.73 MYR 9.40 MYR 13.73 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.93 MYR 6.74 MYR 10.78 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 6.92 MYR 8.93 MYR 11.56 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.39 MYR 13.41 MYR 17.43 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (13.41 MYR) versus Asset-Based (4.36 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 21.2B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin 36.9%
Return on equity 11.3%
Free cash flow 6.0B MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2
More key figures
Operating margin 49.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.7200 MYR
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net debt 99.4B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally. The Consumer Banking segment offers conventional and Islamic financial products and services, such as residential and non-residential property loans, secured personal loans, motor vehicle financing, credit cards, unsecured personal financing, wealth …

Full company description

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally. The Consumer Banking segment offers conventional and Islamic financial products and services, such as residential and non-residential property loans, secured personal loans, motor vehicle financing, credit cards, unsecured personal financing, wealth management, bancassurance, remittance and foreign exchange, deposits, and internet banking services to individual customers. Its Commercial Banking segment provides banking credit facilities, trade financing, cash management, online business banking platform, remittance, and foreign exchange, as well as general deposit products to small and medium-scale enterprises, and mid-sized corporations. The Wholesale Banking segment offers client coverage marketing and delivering solutions; financial advisory services on issuance of equity and equity-linked products, debt restructuring, initial public offerings, secondary offerings, and general corporate advisory; conventional and Islamic funding solutions covering trade, working capital line, capital expenditure, leveraging, merger and acquisition, leveraged, and project financing products; and funding solutions, including cash management, trade finance, foreign exchange, custody and corporate loans, derivatives, structured products, and debt capital. This segment also includes treasury activities and services comprising foreign exchange, money market, derivatives, and capital market trading instruments; transaction banking services, such as trade facilities and cash management solutions; and wealth management solutions, as well as investment, securities financing, and trust services. Its CIMB Digital Assets and Group Funding segment engages in digital businesses and ventures, as well as capital, balance sheet, and fixed income investments and management activities. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CIMB Group reported revenue of 36.4B MYR in FY2025 versus 23.5B MYR in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.9B MYR in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
36.4B MYR
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+8.5%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 23.5B MYR
FY22 26.9B MYR
FY23 35.0B MYR
FY24 37.5B MYR
FY25 36.4B MYR
Net income +16.3%/yr
FY21 4.3B MYR
FY22 5.4B MYR
FY23 7.0B MYR
FY24 7.7B MYR
FY25 7.9B MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIMB Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1023

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.59× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 45 · sector 41
HEALTH 73 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CIMB Group (1023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.45 MYR versus a price of 7.97 MYR, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1023?
Our model-based fair value for CIMB Group is 9.45 MYR (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7.97 MYR.
What is the quality score of 1023?
CIMB Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CIMB Group (1023)?
CIMB Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.2B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1023?
The net profit margin of CIMB Group is about 36.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CIMB Group pay a dividend?
CIMB Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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