PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (BBCA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ID · Market cap 759T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,835 IDR – 10,029 IDR · fair‑value band 4,565 IDR – 7,609 IDR · the 6,350 IDR price screens above the 6,087 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (BBCA) currently trades at 6,350 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,087 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank Central Asia Tbk generated revenue of 109T IDR at a net margin of 53.5%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 88.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,565 IDR (bear case) to 7,609 IDR (bull case); at 6,350 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside, at -4%, BBCA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (11,652 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,535 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services. The company offers time deposits, e- deposits, spinning, Dana Lander accounts, customer accounts, gold stage; loans, such as business, investment credit, securities collateral, multipurpose business, trade finance, business place loans; credit cards; and investment, including …
Full company description
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services. The company offers time deposits, e- deposits, spinning, Dana Lander accounts, customer accounts, gold stage; loans, such as business, investment credit, securities collateral, multipurpose business, trade finance, business place loans; credit cards; and investment, including mutual funds, and bond and secondary SBN. The company also provides collection account opening, remittance, trade finance, tresuries and custodians, transaction banking, electronic banking, cash management, bank assurance, credit facilities, bank guarantees, export-import facilities, and foreign exchange facilities. In addition, the company offers investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, operating leases, and other financing activities; Sharia banking; securities brokerage dealer and underwriter for issuance of securities; general or loss insurance; life insurance; and venture capital services. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Dwimuria Investama Andalan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk reported revenue of 125T IDR in FY2025 versus 80.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was 57.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +16.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 31,500 KRW | 55,811 KRW | +77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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