Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H (1044) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H HK$54.13, price HK$19.66, upside +175.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H
1044 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$17.48 – HK$39.57 · fair‑value band HK$40.60 – HK$67.66 · the HK$19.66 price screens below the HK$54.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
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Company profile
Hengan International Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells consumer goods in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal Hygiene Products, Tissue Paper Products, and Others.
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Hengan International Group Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells consumer goods in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal Hygiene Products, Tissue Paper Products, and Others. The company offers sanitary napkins and disposable cosmetics; baby products; adult, baby, children, and household wet wipes; and adult diapers and pull ups, leak-proof diapers, nursing pads, sanitary wipes, and other adult hygiene care products. It also provides tissue products, including facial tissues, handkerchiefs, toilet papers, paper napkins, kitchen paper towels, hand towels, and finished raw papers; and home furnishing, such as lazy-person cleaning cloths, food storage bags, cling films, resealable bags, cleaning bags, aluminum foil, tablecloths, PE gloves, and others. In addition, the company engages in e-commerce, trading, and procurement; manufacturing, distribution, and sale of protective equipment, medical instrument, skin care products, and antiseptics, as well as heating and power and gas; online sale of cosmetic products and personal hygiene products; distribution of disposable fibre-based products; manufacturing and sale of facial cotton products; importing, processing, and trading of papers; consultancy; and wholesale of personal effects. It sells its products under the Xinxiangyin, Zhupi, Pinnuo, Youxuan, Rouying, An'erle, Qimo, An'erkang, Bianlitu, Jialaina, and Yueshi brand names. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Jinjiang, China.
Stock analysis
Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H (1044) currently trades at HK$19.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$54.13, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$66.95 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$19.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$14.83, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$40.60 (bear) to HK$67.66 (bull), the price of HK$19.66 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H reported revenue of 23.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 20.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$22.3B (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 0.87 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 11.0% · Return on equity 11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Operating margin 14.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 175%, 1044 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 242 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $86.52 | $56.16 | −35% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹1,943 | ₹775.25 | −60% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $17.80 | $12.72 | −29% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL | $94.47 | $44.21 | −53% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $98.77 | $83.77 | −15% |
| Henkel AG HEN | €68.10 | €82.61 | +21% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $95.62 | $65.04 | −32% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €78.56 | €69.09 | −12% |
| Puig Brands, S.A PUIG | €17.84 | €24.28 | +36% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹819.00 | ₹493.84 | −40% |
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Key figures of Hengan Intl Group Ltd-H
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