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Unilever PLC (ULN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Unilever PLC MXN 807, price MXN 1,100, upside -26.6%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Unilever PLC
ULN · MXOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value 807.48 MXN · Overvalued (−26.6%)
✓Quality 74/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.2% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 73/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 859.83 MXN – 1,417 MXN · fair‑value band 538.55 MXN – 1,098 MXN · the 1,100 MXN price screens above the 807.48 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods.
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Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo, conditioner, and styling; face, hand, and body moisturizer skin care products; and Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing products. The Personal Care segment provides soap and shower skin cleansing products; and deodorant and oral care, including toothpaste, toothbrush, and mouthwash products. The Home Care segment offers washing powders and liquids, and rinse conditioner fabric care products; and a range of home and hygiene cleaning products. The Foods segment provides cooking aids and mini meals comprising soups, bouillons, and seasonings, as well as mayonnaise and ketchup condiments; and Unilever food solutions. The company provides its products under the AXE, Clear, Cif, Closeup, Comfort, Dermalogica, Domestos, Dove, Dove Men+Care, Hellmann's, Horlicks, Knorr, LUX, Lifebuoy, Liquid I.V., Nexxus, Nutrafol, OMO, Pond's, Paula's Choice, Pepsodent, Radiant, Rexona, Sunlight, Sunsilk, Surf, TRESemmé, and Vaseline brand names. Unilever PLC was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Unilever PLC (ULN) currently trades at 1,100 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 807.48 MXN, 26.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,428 MXN per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,100 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 98.74 MXN, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 538.55 MXN (bear) to 1,098 MXN (bull), the price of 1,100 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Unilever PLC reported revenue of €50.5B in FY2025 versus €52.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €9.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4T MXN (≈ $132B) · P/E ratio 21.3 · P/S ratio 4.00 · EPS (TTM) 51.62 MXN · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 18.7% · Return on equity 31.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −27%, ULN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 538.55 MXN
Fair Value 807.48 MXN
Bull 1,098 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (37.54 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
516.99 MXN
789.05 MXN
1,301 MXN
79
Growth DCF
549.15 MXN
813.70 MXN
1,273 MXN
77
Owner Earnings
746.35 MXN
1,107 MXN
1,784 MXN
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
516.99 MXN
789.05 MXN
1,301 MXN
79
Owner Earnings
746.35 MXN
1,107 MXN
1,784 MXN
75
5Y Revenue Exit
365.23 MXN
589.67 MXN
917.73 MXN
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
641.46 MXN
1,066 MXN
1,632 MXN
74
5Y P/E Exit
827.93 MXN
1,388 MXN
2,059 MXN
70
10Y Revenue Exit
405.73 MXN
583.97 MXN
774.16 MXN
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
587.05 MXN
882.01 MXN
1,201 MXN
69
10Y P/E Exit
700.46 MXN
1,083 MXN
1,456 MXN
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
611.05 MXN
792.53 MXN
907.01 MXN
67
EPV
537.15 MXN
658.55 MXN
764.77 MXN
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
388.01 MXN
424.70 MXN
480.60 MXN
69
DDM Multi-Stage
388.01 MXN
492.27 MXN
634.75 MXN
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
1,415 MXN
1,887 MXN
2,359 MXN
63
P/S Multiple
575.12 MXN
766.83 MXN
958.54 MXN
58
P/B Multiple
607.94 MXN
810.58 MXN
1,013 MXN
55
EV/EBIT
1,034 MXN
1,443 MXN
1,851 MXN
66
EV/EBITDA
870.99 MXN
1,225 MXN
1,579 MXN
67
EV/Revenue
312.01 MXN
527.68 MXN
743.35 MXN
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
73.69 MXN
98.74 MXN
147.38 MXN
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
549.15 MXN
813.70 MXN
1,273 MXN
77
Rev-Margin DCF
365.23 MXN
606.17 MXN
906.75 MXN
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
436.22 MXN
482.37 MXN
748.89 MXN
75
ROIC Compounder
539.21 MXN
689.88 MXN
844.29 MXN
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
999.39 MXN
1,428 MXN
1,856 MXN
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
74/100
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability
74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 20%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 68% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.4% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%
ULN screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with Colgate-Palmolive Company →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.
- McCormick-Unilever Food Deal Faces UK Competition Review: What it Means for Investors
- Here’s Why Aristotle International Equity Fund Exited Unilever (UL)
- Update: Unilever Offers Shorter Worker Safeguards Outside Europe in McCormick Deal
- Unilever (LSE:ULVR) Could Be 10% Overvalued On Its Restructuring Story
Compare Unilever PLC with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $86.52 | $56.16 | −35% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹1,836 | ₹775.25 | −58% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $17.80 | $12.72 | −29% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL | $90.19 | $44.21 | −51% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $98.77 | $83.77 | −15% |
| Henkel AG HEN | €66.35 | €82.61 | +25% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $95.62 | $65.04 | −32% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €75.40 | €69.09 | −8% |
| Puig Brands, S.A PUIG | €17.84 | €24.28 | +36% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹781.35 | ₹493.84 | −37% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Unilever PLC (ULN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 807.48 MXN versus a price of 1,100 MXN, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ULN?
Our model-based fair value for Unilever PLC is 807.48 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,100 MXN.
What is the quality score of ULN?
Unilever PLC has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 807.48 MXN (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 538.55 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,098 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Unilever PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 807.48 MXN, about −27% upside versus a price of 1,100 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 538.55 MXN, optimistic scenario 1,098 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Unilever PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €50.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Unilever PLC pay a dividend?
Unilever PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Unilever PLC (ULN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Unilever PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +10.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ULN use?
Our models discount Unilever PLC at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Unilever PLC that is +10.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Unilever PLC (ULN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Unilever PLC grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +10.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Unilever PLC (ULN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Unilever PLC (+10.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.82 %: that much free cash flow Unilever PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Unilever PLC it is 807.48 MXN per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of 1,100 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Unilever PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, ULN trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,100 MXN, fair value 807.48 MXN, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ULN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,100 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (807.48 MXN). For Unilever PLC the two are 292.52 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Unilever PLC worth?
The market values Unilever PLC at about 2.4T MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is 1,100 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 807.48 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ULN?
Our models span a range for Unilever PLC: cautious scenario 538.55 MXN, base 807.48 MXN, optimistic 1,098 MXN per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price 1,100 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is ULN from its 52-week high?
Unilever PLC trades at 1,100 MXN, about 14% below its 52-week high of 1,278 MXN and 16% above the low of 946.70 MXN (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 807.48 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Unilever PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Unilever PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price 1,100 MXN, calculated fair value 807.48 MXN (−27%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ULN calculated?
We run Unilever PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 807.48 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Unilever PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 1,100 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 807.48 MXN, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Unilever PLC right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. A fairly wide model range (538.55 MXN to 1,098 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Unilever PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The market capitalisation of Unilever PLC is 2.4T MXN (≈ $132B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Unilever PLC is 21.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Unilever PLC is 4.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Earnings per share at Unilever PLC are 51.62 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The dividend yield of Unilever PLC is 0.2% (payout 3.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The net margin of Unilever PLC is 18.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Unilever PLC is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Unilever PLC is 13.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Unilever PLC (ULN)?
The operating margin of Unilever PLC is 20.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Revenue at Unilever PLC is growing −3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Unilever PLC (ULN)?
Earnings per share at Unilever PLC are growing −3.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Unilever PLC (ULN) carry?
The net debt of Unilever PLC is €22.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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