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The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SA · Market cap 234B SAR

TS The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, 1180 · SR
Price39.52 SAR
Fair Value54.88 SAR
Upside+38.9%
Quality59/100
Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 65.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 72/100
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Evidence: High Range 41.16 SAR – 68.60 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (41.16 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

48.87 SAR 25.46 SAR Fair Value 54.88 SAR Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 25.46 SAR – 48.87 SAR · fair‑value band 41.16 SAR – 68.60 SAR · the 39.52 SAR price screens below the 54.88 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) currently trades at 39.52 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.88 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, generated revenue of 39.5B SAR at a net margin of 65.6%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at 66.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 41.16 SAR (bear case) to 68.60 SAR (bull case); at 39.52 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 39%, 1180 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 22.83 SAR 32.00 SAR 47.99 SAR 80
Residual Income 32.55 SAR 39.25 SAR 80.85 SAR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 23.27 SAR 32.67 SAR 44.32 SAR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 22.76 SAR 32.23 SAR 48.68 SAR 38
Owner Earnings 65.36 SAR 106.99 SAR 179.28 SAR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 23.27 SAR 32.88 SAR 45.70 SAR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 44.24 SAR 74.61 SAR 112.27 SAR 41
5Y P/E Exit 53.64 SAR 93.30 SAR 137.85 SAR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 22.54 SAR 31.64 SAR 45.06 SAR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 37.02 SAR 62.30 SAR 100.15 SAR 37
10Y P/E Exit 43.30 SAR 76.03 SAR 121.32 SAR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 28.71 SAR 116.66 SAR 158.77 SAR 54
Lynch FV 29.20 SAR 41.71 SAR 54.22 SAR 50
PEG = 1.0 29.20 SAR 41.71 SAR 54.22 SAR 46
EPV 51.26 SAR 58.50 SAR 64.94 SAR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19.45 SAR 42.46 SAR 71.44 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 19.45 SAR 34.78 SAR 44.25 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 63.33 SAR 84.44 SAR 105.55 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 14.56 SAR 19.41 SAR 24.26 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 53.83 SAR 71.77 SAR 89.71 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 71.78 SAR 92.30 SAR 112.82 SAR 53
EV/EBITDA 58.46 SAR 74.55 SAR 90.63 SAR 54
EV/Revenue 23.81 SAR 29.63 SAR 35.45 SAR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.13 SAR 22.95 SAR 34.25 SAR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 22.83 SAR 32.00 SAR 47.99 SAR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 23.27 SAR 32.67 SAR 44.32 SAR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 32.55 SAR 39.25 SAR 80.85 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 56.18 SAR 72.59 SAR 94.53 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 49.34 SAR 70.48 SAR 91.62 SAR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (71.77 SAR) versus Asset-Based (22.95 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 39.5B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net margin 65.6%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow 5.7B SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 75.0%
EPS (TTM) 4.19 SAR
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.1%
Net debt 66.5B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and investment management services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.

Full company description

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and investment management services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company offers current, Al Wessam, gold, commercial enterprise, and corporate accounts; Shariah-compliant financing solutions, financial solutions to MSMEs, point-of-sale Merchant Financing, personal and lease finance, and residential finance; and corporate finance solutions, including Ijara, Musharaka financing, Project and Structured Finance, Syndications and Placements, and Tawarruq. It also provides deposit, prepaid, and credit cards; cash management services, such as dividend distribution, payroll, escrow account management, deposit, and debit services; guarantees, fleet leasing, investment products, and digital banking; treasury services, such as foreign currency exchange, money markets, and shariah compliant products; payments and transfers; and trade finance, including documentary collection, export and import letter of credit, letter of guarantees, documentary collection, letter of credit program for Saudi industrial development fund clients. In addition, it operates as a private equity fund; keeps and manages title deeds and collateralized real estate properties; trades in derivatives and repos/reverse repos activities; sells POS equipment and devices; manages liquidity, market, and credit risks; and provides recruitment services, safety deposit boxes, private banking services, wealth management, asset management, investment banking, and shares brokerage services, as well as correspondent banking products and services, including money market and foreign exchange. The company was formerly known as The National Commercial Bank and changed its name to The Saudi National Bank in April 2021. The Saudi National Bank was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of 46.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 29.4B SAR in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
46.1B SAR
Latest YoY
+22.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+10.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 29.4B SAR
FY22 34.1B SAR
FY23 35.9B SAR
FY24 37.6B SAR
FY25 46.1B SAR
Net income +18.6%/yr
FY21 12.7B SAR
FY22 18.6B SAR
FY23 20.0B SAR
FY24 21.2B SAR
FY25 25.1B SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1180

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1100 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 85 · sector 39
FUTURE 34 · sector 43
PAST 50 · sector 41
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 54.88 SAR versus a price of 39.52 SAR, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1180?
Our model-based fair value for The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, is 54.88 SAR (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 39.52 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1180?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180)?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.5B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1180?
The net profit margin of The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, is about 65.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 65.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, pay a dividend?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.87% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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