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Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd HK$0.96, price HK$1.28, upside -25.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK · ISIN BMG9888Y1066

YE Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd

1298 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value HK$0.9600 · Overvalued (−25.0%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +45.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.80 HK$0.4200 Fair Value HK$0.9600 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4200 – HK$1.80 · fair‑value band HK$0.6500 – HK$1.20 · the HK$1.28 price screens above the HK$0.9600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Yunnan Energy International Co. Limited, an investment holding company, distributes analytical and laboratory instruments, and life science equipment in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company operates in two segments, Distribution Business and Supply Chain Business.

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Yunnan Energy International Co. Limited, an investment holding company, distributes analytical and laboratory instruments, and life science equipment in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company operates in two segments, Distribution Business and Supply Chain Business. It offers analytical instruments, such as medical computed tomography equipment, magnetic resonance imaging systems, fully automated microbial mass spectrometers, digital choledochoscopes, color ultrasound machines, radio frequency therapeutic devices, anesthesia machines, and life monitors, as well as life science and general laboratory instruments with specialized and customized hardware and software to provide solutions and facilitate scientific analysis and testing. It also provides after-sales services, such as testing, training, and maintenance services. In addition, the company engages in trading and supply chain business of commodities, and diversified industrial and consumer products. It serves businesses and institutions, which include hospitals, universities, research institutions, and government agencies, as well as companies in the industrial sector. The company was formerly known as Techcomp (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Yunnan Energy International Co. Limited in December 2018. Yunnan Energy International Co. Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Yunnan Energy International Co. Limited is a subsidiary of Baodi International Investment Company Ltd.

Stock analysis

Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) currently trades at HK$1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9600, 25.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.9500 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$1.28 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2500, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6500 (bear) to HK$1.20 (bull), the price of HK$1.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$393M in FY2025 versus HK$84.1M in FY2021, a compound +47.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$898K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$353M (≈ $44.9M) · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin 2.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$393M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −25%, 1298 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6500 Fair Value HK$0.9600 Bull HK$1.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.9800 HK$1.44 HK$2.84 77
Growth DCF HK$0.9300 HK$1.57 HK$2.78 76
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.5500 HK$0.7700 HK$1.17 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.9800 HK$1.44 HK$2.84 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5100 HK$0.6800 HK$1.00 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.5500 HK$0.7700 HK$1.17 75
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6400 HK$0.9500 HK$1.19 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.6800 HK$1.04 HK$1.65 67
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.2400 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2600 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.4500 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6400 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3800 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5300 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.3100 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.6100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.9300 HK$1.57 HK$2.78 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5100 HK$0.7400 HK$1.09 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2400 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2600 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−58.5% (2020) → 1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.4% a year for the price.

1298 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −32.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 3.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $605.59 $666.15 +10%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥72.18 ¥19.61 −73%
MKS Inc MKSI $260.82 $199.90 −23%
Fortive Corporation FTV $56.09 $35.20 −37%
Trimble Inc TRMB $57.85 $29.24 −49%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $58.75 $38.10 −35%

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HK$0.9600 −25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1298

Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9600 versus a price of HK$1.28, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1298?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is HK$0.9600 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.28.
What is the quality score of 1298?
Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.9600 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6500, optimistic scenario HK$1.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.9600, about −25% upside versus a price of HK$1.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6500, optimistic scenario HK$1.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$393M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +45.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1298 use?
Our models discount Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd that is +18.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd grew +45.1 % a year. The price currently implies +18.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (+18.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.57 %: that much free cash flow Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd it is HK$0.9600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.28. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1298 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.28, fair value HK$0.9600, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1298?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.9600). For Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd the two are HK$0.3200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd at about HK$353M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.28; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.9600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1298?
Our models span a range for Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6500, base HK$0.9600, optimistic HK$1.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1298 from its 52-week high?
Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd trades at HK$1.28, at its 52-week high of HK$1.29 and 54% above the low of HK$0.8300 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.9600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Coherent Corp, Garmin Ltd, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.28, calculated fair value HK$0.9600 (−25%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1298 calculated?
We run Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.9600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.28. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.9600, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.6500 to HK$1.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The market capitalisation of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is HK$353M (≈ $44.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is 0.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Earnings per share at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The net margin of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
The operating margin of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Revenue at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is growing −32.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298)?
Earnings per share at Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd are growing +119% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd (1298) carry?
The net debt of Yunnan Energy International Co Ltd is HK$14.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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