Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Goldstream Investment Ltd HK$5.65, price HK$3.16, upside +79.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.30 – HK$12.94 · fair‑value band HK$3.63 – HK$8.29 · the HK$3.16 price screens below the HK$5.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Goldstream Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the investment management (IM) and strategic direct investment (SDI) businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company's IM Business segment offers advisory services on securities and asset management; and securities trading services.
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Goldstream Investment Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the investment management (IM) and strategic direct investment (SDI) businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company's IM Business segment offers advisory services on securities and asset management; and securities trading services. The SDI Business segment engages in proprietary investments in the financial market; proprietary investments in the funds and/or discretionary accounts; and provision of general advisory services. The company also offers investment management system consultancy, design, implementation, and support services. The company was formerly known as International Elite Ltd. and changed its name to Goldstream Investment Limited in July 2019. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Goldstream Investment Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hony Gold Holdings, L.P.
Stock analysis
Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) currently trades at HK$3.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.65, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$3.63 (bear) to HK$8.29 (bull), the price of HK$3.16 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Goldstream Investment Ltd reported revenue of HK$56.7M in FY2025 versus HK$14.8M in FY2021, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.0B (≈ $131M) · P/S ratio 3.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1100 · Net margin −15.5% · Return on equity −87.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin −49.0% · Revenue growth (YoY) +22.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 79%, 1328 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$3.63Fair Value HK$5.65Bull HK$8.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0826 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −14.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.7% (2020) → −29.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.7% a year for the price.
Compare Goldstream Investment Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Below median
Fair Value upside+79.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−15.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−49.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Is Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$5.65 versus a price of HK$3.16, about +79% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1328?
Our model-based fair value for Goldstream Investment Ltd is HK$5.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.16.
What is the quality score of 1328?
Goldstream Investment Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$5.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.63, optimistic scenario HK$8.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Goldstream Investment Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$5.65, about +79% upside versus a price of HK$3.16 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.63, optimistic scenario HK$8.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Goldstream Investment Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -29.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1328 use?
Our models discount Goldstream Investment Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Goldstream Investment Ltd that is -7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Goldstream Investment Ltd grew -29.6 % a year. The price currently implies -7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Goldstream Investment Ltd (-7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.89 %: that much free cash flow Goldstream Investment Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Goldstream Investment Ltd it is HK$5.65 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$3.16. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Goldstream Investment Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1328 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.16, fair value HK$5.65, a gap of about +79% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1328?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$5.65). For Goldstream Investment Ltd the two are HK$2.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Goldstream Investment Ltd worth?
The market values Goldstream Investment Ltd at about HK$1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.16; our models calculate a fair value of HK$5.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1328?
Our models span a range for Goldstream Investment Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.63, base HK$5.65, optimistic HK$8.29 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$3.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Balance-sheet figures for Goldstream Investment Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −87.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1328 from its 52-week high?
Goldstream Investment Ltd trades at HK$3.16, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$7.55 and 20% above the low of HK$2.62 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$5.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Goldstream Investment Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Goldstream Investment Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$3.16, calculated fair value HK$5.65 (+79%), Quality Score 57/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1328 calculated?
We run Goldstream Investment Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$5.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Goldstream Investment Ltd currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$3.16. Our model-based fair value is HK$5.65, about +79% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Goldstream Investment Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$3.63 to HK$8.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) come from?
Earnings per share at Goldstream Investment Ltd grew +1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −16.0 %, EBIT margin +25.5 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Goldstream Investment Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The market capitalisation of Goldstream Investment Ltd is HK$1.0B (≈ $131M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Goldstream Investment Ltd is 3.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Earnings per share at Goldstream Investment Ltd are HK$0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The net margin of Goldstream Investment Ltd is −15.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Goldstream Investment Ltd is −87.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Goldstream Investment Ltd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
The operating margin of Goldstream Investment Ltd is −49.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Revenue at Goldstream Investment Ltd is growing +22.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328)?
Earnings per share at Goldstream Investment Ltd are growing −43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Goldstream Investment Ltd (1328) hold?
Goldstream Investment Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$161M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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