BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd HK$0.04, price HK$0.03, upside +13.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0260 – HK$0.1190 · the HK$0.0310 price screens below the HK$0.0353 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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BaWang International (Group) Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, trades in, and distributes Chinese herbal products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Thailand, and Malaysia. The company operates through Hair-Care Products, Skin-Care Products, and Other Household and Personal Care Products segments.
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BaWang International (Group) Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, trades in, and distributes Chinese herbal products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Thailand, and Malaysia. The company operates through Hair-Care Products, Skin-Care Products, and Other Household and Personal Care Products segments. It offers shampoo, household cleaning, shower gel products, and laundry detergents under the Bawang, Royal Wind, Herborn, and Litao brands. The company also manufactures, markets, and trades in household and personal care products. It sells its products through distributors and retailers; and online channels. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. BaWang International (Group) Holding Limited is a subsidiary of Fortune Station Limited.
Stock analysis
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) currently trades at HK$0.0310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0353, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0400 per share, and 16 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.0310 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 5 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd reported revenue of 273M CNY in FY2025 versus 274M CNY in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$98.0M (≈ $12.5M) · P/S ratio 0.35 · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin 4.0% · Revenue (TTM) 273M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 14%, 1338 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0353Fair Value HK$0.0353Bull HK$0.0353
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.3%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare BaWang International Group Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 241 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+13.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.9% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BaWang International Group Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1338
Frequently asked questions
Is BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0353 versus a price of HK$0.0310, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1338?
Our model-based fair value for BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is HK$0.0353 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0310.
What is the quality score of 1338?
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0353 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 21 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BaWang International Group Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0353, about +14% upside versus a price of HK$0.0310 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 273M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BaWang International Group Holding Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1338 use?
Our models discount BaWang International Group Holding Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BaWang International Group Holding Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BaWang International Group Holding Ltd grew -0.2 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.64 %: that much free cash flow BaWang International Group Holding Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BaWang International Group Holding Ltd it is HK$0.0353 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0310. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BaWang International Group Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1338 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0310, fair value HK$0.0353, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1338?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0310); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0353). For BaWang International Group Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.0043 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BaWang International Group Holding Ltd worth?
The market values BaWang International Group Holding Ltd at about HK$98.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0310; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0353 per share.
What is the PEG ratio of 1338?
The PEG ratio of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 0.81 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
Balance-sheet figures for BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1338 from its 52-week high?
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.0310, about 28% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0430 and 19% above the low of HK$0.0260 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0353 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BaWang International Group Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BaWang International Group Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0310, calculated fair value HK$0.0353 (+14%), Quality Score 59/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1338 calculated?
We run BaWang International Group Holding Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0353, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. BaWang International Group Holding Ltd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0310. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0353, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BaWang International Group Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0353). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The market capitalisation of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is HK$98.0M (≈ $12.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The net margin of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
The operating margin of BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
Revenue at BaWang International Group Holding Ltd is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338)?
Earnings per share at BaWang International Group Holding Ltd are growing +25.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does BaWang International Group Holding Ltd (1338) hold?
BaWang International Group Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 66.2M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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