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Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$168M

ME Macau E And M Holding Ltd 1408 · HK
PriceHK$0.3400
Fair ValueHK$0.0700
Upside-79.4%
Quality73/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0600 – HK$0.0900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.31 HK$0.1124 Fair Value HK$0.0700 Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1124 – HK$4.31 · fair‑value band HK$0.0600 – HK$0.0900 · the HK$0.3400 price screens above the HK$0.0700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 79.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Macau E And M Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$75.3M at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$101M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0600 (bear case) to HK$0.0900 (bull case); at HK$0.3400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -79%, 1408 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.5600 HK$0.6400 HK$0.7600 80
Residual Income HK$0.2500 HK$0.2200 HK$0.1400 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4600 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6600 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.5500 HK$0.6400 HK$0.7800 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.2600 HK$0.2700 HK$0.2900 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4600 HK$0.5400 HK$0.6500 39
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4000 HK$0.4300 HK$0.4700 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5000 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6100 36
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.4700 HK$0.5000 HK$0.5200 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 55
EV/Revenue HK$0.4000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2700 HK$0.4100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.5600 HK$0.6400 HK$0.7600 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4600 HK$0.5500 HK$0.6600 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2500 HK$0.2200 HK$0.1400 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.5500) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$75.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.3%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow HK$23.6M FY2025
EPS growth (YoY) +33.1%
More key figures
Net cash HK$101M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Macau E&M Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides electrical and mechanical (E&M) engineering works, and maintenance and repair services in Macau.

Full company description

Macau E&M Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides electrical and mechanical (E&M) engineering works, and maintenance and repair services in Macau. The company engages in the supply and installation of low voltage systems; heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning systems; extra low voltage system works; testing and commissioning services; and management and monitoring of quality and delivery of E&M engineering services works. It also offers repair and maintenance services for property and hospitality facilities, including hotels and entertainment resorts. Macau E&M Holding Limited was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Macau.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Macau E And M Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$76.8M in FY2025 versus HK$184M in FY2021, a compound −19.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.2M in FY2025, compounding −46.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$76.8M
Latest YoY
−16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.8%
Revenue −19.7%/yr
FY21 HK$184M
FY22 HK$143M
FY23 HK$128M
FY24 HK$92.1M
FY25 HK$76.8M
Net income −46.3%/yr
FY21 HK$26.2M
FY22 HK$9.3M
FY23 −HK$3.8M
FY24 −HK$2.5M
FY25 HK$2.2M

1408 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Macau E And M Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1408

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 22 · sector 15
PAST 4 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0700 versus a price of HK$0.3400, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1408?
Our model-based fair value for Macau E And M Holding Ltd is HK$0.0700 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3400.
What is the quality score of 1408?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$75.3M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1408?
The net profit margin of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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