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Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Macau E And M Holding Ltd HK$0.26, price HK$0.41, upside -36.6%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG5830C1015

ME Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Macau E And M Holding Ltd

1408 · HK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value HK$0.2600 · Strongly overvalued (−36.6%)
✓Quality 73/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −22.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$4.31 HK$0.1124 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Sep 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1124 – HK$4.31 · the HK$0.4100 price screens above the HK$0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Macau E&M Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides electrical and mechanical (E&M) engineering works, and maintenance and repair services in Macau.

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Macau E&M Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides electrical and mechanical (E&M) engineering works, and maintenance and repair services in Macau. The company engages in the supply and installation of low voltage systems; heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning systems; extra low voltage system works; testing and commissioning services; and management and monitoring of quality and delivery of E&M engineering services works. It also offers repair and maintenance services for property and hospitality facilities, including hotels and entertainment resorts. Macau E&M Holding Limited was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Macau.

Stock analysis

Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) currently trades at HK$0.4100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2600, 36.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5900 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$0.4100 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Macau E And M Holding Ltd reported revenue of 76.8M MOP in FY2025 versus 184M MOP in FY2021, a compound −19.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2M MOP in FY2025, compounding −46.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$205M (≈ $26.1M) · P/S ratio 2.22 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Revenue (TTM) 75.3M MOP · Revenue growth (YoY) +4.3% · EPS growth (YoY) +33.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −37%, 1408 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2600 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Bull HK$0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.8100 HK$1.10 82
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.8200 HK$1.08 80
Owner Earnings HK$0.2700 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3400 78
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.8100 HK$1.10 82
Owner Earnings HK$0.2700 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3400 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4900 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7100 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5000 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5500 HK$0.6200 HK$0.6900 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.5100 HK$0.5400 HK$0.5700 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 55
EV/Revenue HK$0.4000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5700 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2100 HK$0.2700 HK$0.4100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.8200 HK$1.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4900 HK$0.5900 HK$0.7200 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2800 HK$0.2600 HK$0.2600 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−41.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−41.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → −3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.4%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

1408 screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Return on assets −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $649.13 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.30 €186.22 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.20 €203.86 −49%
EMCOR Group EME $762.21 $525.05 −31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €93.60 €62.20 −34%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Macau E And M Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1408

Frequently asked questions

Is Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2600 versus a price of HK$0.4100, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1408?
Our model-based fair value for Macau E And M Holding Ltd is HK$0.2600 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4100.
What is the quality score of 1408?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2600 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Macau E And M Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2600, about −37% upside versus a price of HK$0.4100 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 75.3M MOP (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Macau E And M Holding Ltd it is HK$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4100. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Macau E And M Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1408 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4100, fair value HK$0.2600, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1408?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2600). For Macau E And M Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.1500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Macau E And M Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Macau E And M Holding Ltd at about HK$205M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4100; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2600 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Balance-sheet figures for Macau E And M Holding Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1408 from its 52-week high?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.4100, about 9% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4527 and 90% above the low of HK$0.2159 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Macau E And M Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Macau E And M Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4100, calculated fair value HK$0.2600 (−37%), Quality Score 73/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1408 calculated?
We run Macau E And M Holding Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Macau E And M Holding Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4100. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2600, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Macau E And M Holding Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Macau E And M Holding Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
The market capitalisation of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is HK$205M (≈ $26.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is 2.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
The net margin of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Revenue at Macau E And M Holding Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408)?
Earnings per share at Macau E And M Holding Ltd are growing +33.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) generate?
The free cash flow of Macau E And M Holding Ltd is 23.6M MOP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Macau E And M Holding Ltd (1408) hold?
Macau E And M Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 101M MOP net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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