Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation (1409) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 39.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −23.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.70 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.00 TWD – 31.70 TWD · fair‑value band 13.02 TWD – 21.70 TWD · the 22.50 TWD price screens above the 17.37 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation (1409) currently trades at 22.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.37 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation generated revenue of 38.9B TWD at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 48.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.02 TWD (bear case) to 21.70 TWD (bull case); at 22.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -23%, 1409 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (20.43 TWD) versus Growth DCF (13.00 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation researches for, manufactures, and sells polyester chips and polyester films in Asia.
Full company description
Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation researches for, manufactures, and sells polyester chips and polyester films in Asia. The company's products primarily include partially oriented yarns, polyester filament yarns, fully drawn yarns, polyester staple fibers, polyester draw textured yarns, industrial yarns, polyester pellets, PET bottle grade resins, PET bottles, PET bottle preforms, engineering polymers, optical films, polyester films, and A-PET sheets. It also offers synthetic resins, plastic products; chemical fiber weaving, printing, and dyeing services; and leasing, investment, human resources management and securities investment consulting, and life and property insurance agency services, as well as electronic information software. In addition, the company manufactures magnetic tapes for recording and video disks, and polyester films; manufactures synthetic fibers; and manufactures electronic parts and components, and precision chemical materials, as well as engages in the wholesale and retail sale of textile products. Further, the company is involved in the precision chemical materials and mold manufacturing wholesale; consignment trading of securities and futures; and sale and rental of housing and building development projects; and provision of consulting, biotechnology research, and development services. Additionally, it contracts for air pollution prevention, piping engineering and machine installation projects; provides real estate development and leasing services. It serves textiles, food, packaging, electronics, and optronics industries. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation reported revenue of 37.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 43.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B TWD in FY2025, compounding −16.1%/yr from FY2021.
1409 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥91.75 | ¥12.85 | -86% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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