Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Universal Textile Co Ltd TWD 1.70, price TWD 9.98, upside -83.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.98 TWD – 27.15 TWD · fair‑value band 1.70 TWD – 4.97 TWD · the 9.98 TWD price screens above the 1.70 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Universal Textile Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells various processed yarns and synthetic fiber fabrics in Taiwan. The company operates through Textile and Textured yarn segments. It offers products, such as polyester filament fabrics, T/R mixed weave fabrics, elastic fabrics, etc, as well as produces polyester processed yarn.
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Universal Textile Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells various processed yarns and synthetic fiber fabrics in Taiwan. The company operates through Textile and Textured yarn segments. It offers products, such as polyester filament fabrics, T/R mixed weave fabrics, elastic fabrics, etc, as well as produces polyester processed yarn. The company provides wool, linen, and cotton, as well as special cross-section polyester filament yarns and recycled PET. Universal Textile Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) currently trades at 9.98 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.70 TWD, 83.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 10.89 TWD per share, and 1 of the 5 models we run sit above the 9.98 TWD price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 2.89 TWD, and 4 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.70 TWD (bear) to 4.97 TWD (bull), the price of 9.98 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Universal Textile Co Ltd reported revenue of 770M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −113M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $41.0M) · P/S ratio 1.94 · EPS (TTM) −0.6900 TWD · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin −14.7% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.6% · Operating margin −18.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −83%, 1445 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.70 TWDFair Value 1.70 TWDBull 4.97 TWD
Price 9.98 TWD · Upside -83.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.5% (2020) → −12.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price.
Compare Universal Textile Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−13.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−18.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−32.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.89× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)56· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universal Textile Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1445
Frequently asked questions
Is Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.70 TWD versus a price of 9.98 TWD, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1445?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Textile Co Ltd is 1.70 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.98 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1445?
Universal Textile Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.70 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.70 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.97 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universal Textile Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.70 TWD, about −83% upside versus a price of 9.98 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.70 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.97 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Universal Textile Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 674M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Universal Textile Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Universal Textile Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Universal Textile Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.4 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1445 use?
Our models discount Universal Textile Co Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Universal Textile Co Ltd that is +10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Universal Textile Co Ltd grew -3.4 % a year. The price currently implies +10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Universal Textile Co Ltd (+10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.90 %: that much free cash flow Universal Textile Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universal Textile Co Ltd it is 1.70 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 9.98 TWD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Universal Textile Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1445 trades above its calculated fair value: price 9.98 TWD, fair value 1.70 TWD, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1445?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.98 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.70 TWD). For Universal Textile Co Ltd the two are 8.28 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universal Textile Co Ltd worth?
The market values Universal Textile Co Ltd at about 1.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 9.98 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.70 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1445?
Our models span a range for Universal Textile Co Ltd: cautious scenario 1.70 TWD, base 1.70 TWD, optimistic 4.97 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 9.98 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universal Textile Co Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −4.2%, debt of 0.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1445 from its 52-week high?
Universal Textile Co Ltd trades at 9.98 TWD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 15.80 TWD and at the low of 9.98 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.70 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universal Textile Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universal Textile Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 9.98 TWD, calculated fair value 1.70 TWD (−83%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1445 calculated?
We run Universal Textile Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.70 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Universal Textile Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 9.98 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 1.70 TWD, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universal Textile Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.97 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (1.70 TWD to 4.97 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Universal Textile Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The market capitalisation of Universal Textile Co Ltd is 1.3B TWD (≈ $41.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Universal Textile Co Ltd is 1.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Earnings per share at Universal Textile Co Ltd are −0.6900 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The dividend yield of Universal Textile Co Ltd is 5.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The net margin of Universal Textile Co Ltd is −14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universal Textile Co Ltd is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universal Textile Co Ltd is −2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
The operating margin of Universal Textile Co Ltd is −18.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Revenue at Universal Textile Co Ltd is growing −32.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445)?
Earnings per share at Universal Textile Co Ltd are growing −83.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Universal Textile Co Ltd (1445) carry?
The net debt of Universal Textile Co Ltd is 1.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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