Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation (1468) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 2.2B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +9.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.47 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.90 TWD – 17.00 TWD · fair‑value band 2.68 TWD – 4.47 TWD · the 13.40 TWD price screens above the 3.57 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation (1468) currently trades at 13.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.57 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 73.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation generated revenue of 709M TWD at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 48.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at 914M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.68 TWD (bear case) to 4.47 TWD (bull case); at 13.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -73%, 1468 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (9.15 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.44 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of various types of fibers in Taiwan and China. The company offers ultra-fine and super-micro fibers, and dyed and finished fabrics, as well as micro and ultra-microfiber yarns.
Full company description
Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of various types of fibers in Taiwan and China. The company offers ultra-fine and super-micro fibers, and dyed and finished fabrics, as well as micro and ultra-microfiber yarns. It is also involved in investment business; and development and sale of residential and commercial buildings. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation reported revenue of 827M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 33.7M TWD in FY2025, compounding +24.5%/yr from FY2021.
1468 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 308 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥8.08 | ¥7.87 | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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